NEAR/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-24 12:00 UTC 44 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %

Entry

4.4070

Target

4.3010 +2.41 %

closes in profit

Stop

5.4510 −23.69 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,586 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,586 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.97 % 20 % at stop avg −3.84 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, SMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross, HT SINE Zero Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

53.9 % – first candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 41 % (8.74) ▼ Bearish 59 % (12.79)

model score 59.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.60
▼	SMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross	indicator	2.59
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	2.13
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.07
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	2.02
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.95
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.46
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.18

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 4H signal is bearish with multiple indicators confirming, but strength is weak and probability is only 59%.
Short-term timeframes (15m-2h) are strongly bearish, but higher timeframes (4h-12h) are choppy and the 1d is bullish, creating mixed signals.
Key levels to monitor: resistance at 5.45100 and support at 4.30100; a break below support would confirm the bearish case.
The Death Cross on the SMA 50/200 is a significant bearish marker, but the recent RSI oversold and cross-ups suggest a possible short-term bounce.

The 4H signal stack for NEA/RUSDT is firmly bearish, with a cluster of indicators aligning to confirm downside momentum. The RSI OS Entry suggests the pair has just exited oversold conditions, but the accompanying STOCH KD Cross Up and KDJ Cross Up indicate a short-term bounce within a broader downtrend. The SMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross and T3 Retreat Down reinforce the bearish bias, while the HT SINE Zero Cross Down and ALMA Retreat Down add further weight to the selling pressure. The probability stands at 59% with weak strength, implying that while the direction is clear, the conviction is not overwhelming.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is solid and very strong on the 15m through 2h charts, but weakens to choppy/sideways on the 4h, 8h, and 12h, and flips to bullish on the 1d. This suggests that the short-term momentum is bearish, but the higher timeframes are indecisive or even opposing. The nearest resistance sits at 5.45100, while the nearest support is at 4.30100. A break below support would confirm the bearish signal, whereas a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it. Traders should watch these levels closely as the trend develops.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish trend alignment across short-term timeframes (15m-2h) with very strong scores on 30m and 1h.
▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators including SMA Death Cross, T3 Retreat Down, and HT SINE Zero Cross Down.
▼ The presence of a Death Cross (SMA 50/200) is a classic long-term bearish signal that supports the downtrend.
▼ The trend scores on the 4H and 8H are bearish, even if choppy, indicating a persistent bearish bias.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1D timeframe is bullish with a solid trend, which could act as a higher-timeframe headwind and limit downside.
▲ The RSI OS Entry and multiple cross-ups (STOCH, KDJ) suggest the pair may be due for a bounce, potentially stalling the bearish move.
▲ Weak signal strength (59% probability) means the signal is not highly reliable and could easily reverse.
▲ If price reclaims the 5.45100 resistance, the bearish thesis is invalidated and a move higher may unfold.