LUNC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.09 %
Entry
0.00004509
Target
0.00004466 +0.95 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.00004632 −2.73 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 11,201 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 11,201 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross, KAMA Retreat Down, TRIMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,753 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
39.7 % ↓ −26.4 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 10 % (2.22) ▼ Bearish 90 % (19.38)
model score 22.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
LUNC/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar
  • October 27, 2026USDAuftragseingänge für langlebige Güter m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 1 day
  • October 27, 2026USDCB Verbrauchervertrauensindex●●●Forecast 81.5Previous 81.9in 1 day
  • October 27, 2026USDVerkäufe von Neubauten●●●Forecast 0.708MPrevious 0.684Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 2.94
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▼ TRIMA Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ CHOP Choppy indicator 1.65
▼ ADXR Trend Weak indicator 1.57
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.52
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.43
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.38
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.19
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.04
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 0.84

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish indicators on the 30m timeframe points to a high-probability sell setup.
  • Higher timeframes (2h to 1d) are all bearish, with very strong trend scores at 8h and 12h, aligning with the sell signal.
  • Watch the 0.00005 resistance: a reclaim would invalidate the bearish case; the 0.00004 support is the key downside level.
  • The short-term bullish chop (15m-1h) is weak and likely to fade, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
The LUN/CUSDT 30-minute signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, led by a Death Cross on the 20/50 SMA and multiple zero-line and midline crosses in BOP, CMO, RSI, and STOCHF. The ADXR trend weakness and KAMA retreat confirm fading upside momentum, while the MACD signal cross up suggests a brief intraday bounce before the broader downtrend resumes. The confluence of these signals points to a shift in short-term momentum toward the downside, despite the higher timeframes still showing choppy bullish conditions.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but increasingly bearish: the 15m to 1h timeframes are bullish but choppy with weak trend scores (1/5), while the 2h to 1d timeframes are all bearish, with very strong trend formation at 8h and 12h. This alignment—short-term chop giving way to a firmly established lower-timeframe downtrend—supports the sell signal. Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.00005 (which, if reclaimed, would invalidate the bearish case) and the nearest support at 0.00004, which is the primary downside target. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a hold above resistance would signal a potential reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Death Cross on the 20/50 SMA confirms a bearish crossover in the short-term trend.
  • ▼ Multiple zero-line and midline crosses (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF) indicate a broad loss of bullish momentum.
  • ▼ Strong bearish trend alignment across 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes supports the sell signal.
  • ▼ KAMA retreat and ADXR trend weakness suggest the recent bullish push is losing steam.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15m-1h timeframes are still bullish, though choppy and weak; a sudden bullish push could delay the expected decline.
  • ▲ The MACD signal cross up hints at a possible short-term bounce—this could provide temporary upside pressure.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 0.00005 resistance, the bearish thesis is invalidated and a reversal becomes more likely.
  • ▲ Momentum may be fading if the higher-timeframe trend scores (1d at 3/5) weaken further, reducing the probability of a sustained move.
Symbol LUNC/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 23%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-25 17:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.00005 2026-10-25
R2 0.00005 2026-10-23
R3 0.00005 2026-10-21
S1 0.00004 2026-10-25
S2 0.00004 2026-10-24

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