LUNC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-25 08:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.86 %

Entry

0.00004514

Target

0.00004344 +3.77 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00004591 −1.71 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 11,201 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 11,201 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Down, EMA 200 Break Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,753 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +31.2 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 7 % (2.73) ▼ Bearish 93 % (35.30)

model score 92.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.75
▼	EMA 200 Break Down	indicator	2.67
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	1.63
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.22
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.16
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple indicators (CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCHF) have crossed down, signaling a strong bearish move on the 30M chart.
The EMA 200 break and Bollinger Band retreats add to the bearish confluence, increasing signal reliability.
Higher timeframes (2H-1D) are bearish, supporting the 30M signal, but the 15M-1H are bullish, so watch for a short-term bounce.
Key levels: resistance at 0.00005 and support at 0.00004; a break below support confirms bearish continuation.

The 30-minute LUN/CUSDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with eight indicators crossing key thresholds simultaneously. The CCI, CMO, RSI, and STOCHF all crossed below their midlines, while the Williams %R entered oversold territory. Additionally, the Bollinger Bands middle and upper bands were breached to the downside, and the EMA 200 was broken. This confluence suggests a strong, immediate bearish impulse, with the probability rated at 87% and strength 'very strong'.

However, the trend picture across timeframes is mixed. The 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour timeframes are all showing a bullish trend that is still forming, which could indicate a potential short-term bounce. In contrast, the 2-hour through 12-hour timeframes are bearish, with the 8-hour and 12-hour showing very strong trends. This alignment of longer timeframes with the bearish signal supports the probability of a sustained move, but the conflicting shorter-term bullish signals introduce a risk of a pullback. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.00005 and support at 0.00004; a break below support would confirm the bearish trend, while a reclaim of resistance could invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ High probability (87%) and very strong signal strength.
▼ Confluence of eight indicators firing in the same direction.
▼ Alignment with bearish trends on 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes.
▼ Break below the EMA 200 and Bollinger Bands middle band suggests momentum shift.

Risk Factors

▲ Shorter timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) are still bullish, which could lead to a temporary pullback or reversal.
▲ The nearest support at 0.00004 is not far below; if it holds, the bearish move may stall.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 0.00005, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The oversold condition on Williams %R could trigger a short-term bounce, slowing the decline.