LUNC/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-25 00:00 UTC 58 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.33 %

Entry

0.00004507

Target

0.00004447 +1.33 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00004756 −5.52 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,586 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,586 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.97 % 20 % at stop avg −3.84 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 50 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MCGD Retreat Down, TTM TREND Trend Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

60.1 % – first candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 26 % (3.92) ▼ Bearish 74 % (11.30)

model score 74.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MCGD Retreat Down	indicator	2.53
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.95
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.94
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.15
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.10

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signal with 74% probability, backed by a suite of indicators pointing to downward momentum.
Higher timeframes (1H-1D) are consistently bearish, with 8H/12H showing very strong trends, but 15M is choppy and bullish.
Watch the 0.00005 resistance and 0.00004 support; a break below support could confirm the trend, while reclaiming resistance may invalidate it.
Signal strength is moderate, so expect possible volatility and false moves near key levels.

The LUN/CUSDT 4H signal fires a bearish SELL with a 74% probability, supported by a broad suite of indicators: BOP Zero Cross Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, HT SINE Zero Cross Down, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, MCGD Retreat Down, TTM TREND Trend Down, and VORTEX Cross Up. These signals collectively point to a shift in momentum, with the crossovers indicating a transition in market phase and the trend indicators confirming a downward bias. The alignment across timeframes is notable: while the 15m is choppy and bullish, the higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are consistently bearish, with the 8H and 12H showing very strong trends. This suggests that the immediate noise is being overridden by a more established bearish trend, making the sell signal more credible.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.00005 and support at 0.00004. A break below support would reinforce the bearish outlook, while a reclaim of resistance could signal a potential reversal. The trend scores indicate that the bearish momentum is building, but the moderate strength suggests that traders should be cautious. The confluence of multiple indicators and the alignment across timeframes are strong supporting factors, but the choppy 15m timeframe and the proximity of support could introduce volatility. Monitoring price action around these levels will be crucial for validating the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, HT PHASOR, HT SINE, ERI, MCGD, TTM, VORTEX) align in a bearish direction.
▼ Trend alignment across 1H to 1D timeframes, with very strong trends on 8H/12H, supports the sell signal.
▼ The bearish trend is forming on the 1H and solid on 2H/4H, indicating momentum is building.
▼ The 4H signal is in sync with the broader bearish context, increasing confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M timeframe is bullish and choppy, which could lead to short-term counter-trend moves.
▲ The signal strength is only moderate, so the move may lack the force to break through support quickly.
▲ A close above the 0.00005 resistance would invalidate the bearish thesis and could signal a reversal.
▲ If the support at 0.00004 holds, the trend might stall, leading to sideways consolidation.