XRP/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED

2026-10-25 04:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.72 %

Entry

1.3019

Target

1.2562 +3.51 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.3992 −7.47 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 1,666 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,666 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.70 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.96 % 21 % at stop avg −3.78 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

38.0 % ↓ −4.8 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 19 % (6.96) ▼ Bearish 81 % (30.64)

model score 9.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for XRP/USDT

Full calendar

12:30TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 22h
14:00TomorrowUSDCB Consumer Confidence Index●●●Forecast 81.5Previous 81.9in 1 day
14:00TomorrowUSDNew Home Sales●●○Forecast 0.708MPrevious 0.684Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.23
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.76
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.28
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 4H with high probability and confluence of indicators.
Trend is bearish across most timeframes, with solid trends on 2H, 8H, and 12H.
Key resistance at 1.39920; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
Support at 1.25620 is the nearest downside target, but watch for a potential bounce.

The 4H signal on XRP/USDT is strongly bearish, with ten indicators converging on a downward move. The BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, and RSI Midline Cross Down all confirm a shift in momentum, while the STOCHF KD Cross Down and BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down add to the bearish case. The ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish and KELTNER MID Cross Down further reinforce the trend, and the candlestick group supports the move. With an 83% probability and strong strength, the signal is compelling.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, with solid trends on the 2H, 8H, and 12H charts, and forming trends on the 1H and 4H. The 30M is a minor bullish counter, but it is weak and likely to be overridden. The 1D is choppy, suggesting a lack of long-term direction, but the medium-term bearishness is clear. The nearest resistance at 1.39920 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish case. The nearest support at 1.25620 is the target zone, but traders should be cautious of a retest or bounce.

Catalysts

▼ Alignment of multiple indicator groups (candlestick and indicator) on the bearish side.
▼ Consistent bearish trends across 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes.
▼ RSI midline cross down and CMO zero cross down indicate momentum shift.
▼ Ichimoku Cloud Bearish adds a structural bearish confirmation.

Risk Factors

▲ The 30M timeframe is bullish, which could lead to a short-term countertrend bounce.
▲ The 1D timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of strong long-term bearish conviction.
▲ If price breaks above the 1.39920 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Fading momentum on the 15M (trend forming) could reduce the probability of a sustained move.