AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.07 %
Entry
110.585
Target
111.308 +0.65 %
closes in profit
Stop
109.793 −0.72 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,581 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,581 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.2 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 14.5 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 546 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYTokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y●●●Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.0%in 5h
  • TodayJPYUnemployment Rate●●○in 5h
  • TodayJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.7%in 5h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 94%
conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.87
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.83
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.81
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 1.81
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.80
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.78
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.77
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.68
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.61
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.47
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.37
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.33
▲ Long Line Bullish candlestick 1.23
▲ STC OS Entry indicator 0.99

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong cluster of bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggests immediate upward momentum.
  • The nearest resistance at 111.30800 is the key upside target; watch for a potential breakout.
  • The nearest support at 109.79300 is the critical invalidation level for this bullish setup.
  • Higher timeframes are bearish, so this is a counter-trend move and should be treated as short-term.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a Stochastic KD Cross Up and multiple retreat-up signals across DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA, MA, MAMA Price, and Midpoint. This broad alignment of momentum and trend-following indicators suggests strong short-term buying pressure, with the signal probability rated at 100% and strength very strong. The confluence of these signals points to a potential continuation of the upward move, with the nearest resistance at 111.30800 serving as the immediate upside target.

However, the higher timeframe picture is predominantly bearish, with the 1H through daily charts all showing bearish trends. This creates a conflict between the short-term bullish momentum and the longer-term bearish structure. The 30-minute trend itself is noted as choppy/sideways, which may limit the sustainability of the move. Traders should watch the nearest support at 109.79300 as a key invalidation level; a break below that would negate the bullish setup. The current signal is best suited for short-term scalping, with tight risk management given the mixed higher timeframe context.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple retreat-up signals from DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA Price, Midpoint, and HT Trendline indicate strong bullish alignment.
  • ▲ Stochastic KD Cross Up confirms short-term momentum turning higher.
  • ▲ Signal probability at 100% and very strong strength suggest high conviction in the immediate direction.
  • ▲ The nearest support at 109.79300 is well below current price, providing a clear invalidation level.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H through daily) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ The 30-minute trend is described as choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear directional momentum.
  • ▼ The 15-minute trend is only 2/5, showing the trend is still forming and not fully established.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 109.79300 would invalidate the bullish signal and could trigger a rapid decline.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 94%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-26 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.30800 2026-10-22
S1 109.79300 2026-10-23
S2 109.48900 2026-10-23

Tags

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