AVAX/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-26 12:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.36 %

Entry

8.9780

Target

8.7650 +2.37 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.0280 −0.56 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 11,406 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 11,406 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +9.9 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 6 % (1.65) ▼ Bearish 94 % (26.35)

model score 94.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

12:30TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 22h
14:00TomorrowUSDCB Consumer Confidence Index●●●Forecast 81.5Previous 81.9in 1 day
14:00TomorrowUSDNew Home Sales●●○Forecast 0.708MPrevious 0.684Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 12:32 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.47
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	1.15
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	1.02
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	0.97
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 30m align with a solid downtrend on higher timeframes.
Key resistance at 9.02800; a break above would invalidate the sell signal.
Support at 8.76500 is the immediate downside target.
Mixed stochastic signals and weak strength suggest a cautious approach.

The 30-minute SELL signal for AVA/XUSDT is driven by a cluster of bearish indicators and candlestick patterns. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure, while the CCI OB Exit and RSX OB Entry suggest momentum is turning down from overbought conditions. The STOCH KD Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Down present a mixed short-term picture, but the SMA 200 Retreat Down confirms that price is pulling away from a key moving average, reinforcing the bearish bias. The Dragonfly Doji and Takuri Line, often seen as reversal patterns, add a cautionary note in the context of the higher timeframe downtrend.

Across timeframes, the trend is bearish on the 1-hour and higher, with solid trend scores on the 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h charts. The 15m and 30m are still bullish but choppy, suggesting the immediate upside may be limited. The key resistance at 9.02800 is the level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. Support at 8.76500 is the first downside target, and a close below that could extend the decline. The overall alignment of lower timeframe signals with the higher timeframe downtrend supports the bearish case, but the weak strength and mixed stochastic signals warrant caution.

Catalysts

▼ Higher timeframe trends (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h) are solidly bearish, aligning with the 30m sell signal.
▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, RSX, SMA 200) point to bearish momentum.
▼ Candlestick patterns (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri Line) often precede reversals, adding confluence.
▼ Price is retreating from the SMA 200, confirming downside pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m and 30m trends are still bullish, which could counter the bearish signal.
▲ Weak signal strength (60% probability) reduces confidence.
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up suggests a possible short-term bounce.
▲ A break above 9.02800 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.