AVAX/USDT – 8H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-26 08:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.22 %

Entry

9.0040

Target

10.0540 +11.66 %

closes in profit

Stop

7.1690 −20.38 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 10

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.13 % per trade 915 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 915 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +4.16 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.40 % 27 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.66 % 21 % at stop avg −5.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 25 of 100 across all crypto 8h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Retreat Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +28.1 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +18% Swing

▲ Bullish 100 % (11.55) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 20.3 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 26.7 % vs 22.5 % (crypto, 2,591 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

14:30TomorrowUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.067MPrevious -3.060Min 18h
18:00TomorrowUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.00%in 22h
18:30TomorrowUSDFOMC Press Conference●●●in 22h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 16:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	TEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.50
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.61
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.38

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of 8H bullish indicators has fired, signaling strong buying pressure.
Lower timeframes are bullish but choppy, while medium timeframes remain bearish—trend conflict exists.
Watch the nearest resistance at 10.05400; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case.
Support at 7.16900 is the key invalidation zone if the bullish move fails.

The 8H signal stack has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators on AVA/XUSDT: BOP Zero Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, TEMA Retreat Up, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, and TTM TREND Trend Up. The confluence of these momentum, volatility, and trend-following indicators suggests a strong, coordinated shift in buying pressure on the 8H timeframe, with the probability score at 100% and very strong strength. However, the broader trend context is mixed: lower timeframes (15m to 1h) are bullish but choppy, while the 2H to 12H timeframes remain bearish with solid trend scores. This creates a conflict where the 8H signal is firing against the prevailing medium-term downtrend, meaning the bullish push may be an early reversal attempt or a counter-trend move that needs confirmation on higher timeframes.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 10.05400 and support at 7.16900. A successful bullish move would need to reclaim and hold above the resistance to shift the medium-term trend; failure to do so could see the pair retest support. The 1D timeframe is only trend-forming, so the higher-timeframe bearish bias is not yet fully entrenched, leaving room for the 8H signal to lead a reversal. Traders should watch for whether the bullish momentum can push through resistance and whether higher timeframes begin to flip bullish, which would validate the signal. Until then, the signal is strong but not yet aligned with the broader trend, so caution is warranted.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators firing simultaneously on the 8H timeframe (BOP, MACD, STOCHF, WILLR, TEMA, ERI, TTM) indicate strong confluence.
▲ The very strong signal strength and 100% probability suggest high conviction in the move.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are already bullish, providing early momentum that could feed into higher timeframes.
▲ The 1D trend is only forming, meaning the bearish bias is not deeply entrenched, allowing room for a reversal.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H-12H) are bearish with solid trends, which could overpower the 8H bullish signal.
▼ If the price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 10.05400, the bullish move may stall and reverse.
▼ The choppy/sideways action on lower timeframes suggests a lack of clear directional conviction, which could undermine momentum.
▼ A drop below the nearest support at 7.16900 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the broader downtrend.