DOGE/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −2.06 %
Entry
0.07725
Target
0.07478 +3.20 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.08380 −8.48 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,689 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,689 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +2.68 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.80 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.93 % 21 % at stop avg −3.77 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Retreat Down, KELTNER MID Cross Down, TRIMA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.9 % – vs previous candle
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 14 % (4.90) ▼ Bearish 86 % (28.90)
model score 5.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 8 candles
DOGE/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for DOGE/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.067MPrevious -3.060Min 14h
  • TodayUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.00%in 17h
  • TodayUSDFOMC Press Conference●●●in 18h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 4h 6%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.18
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.87
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.58
▼ TRIMA Retreat Down indicator 1.58
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.43
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.30
▲ AROON Cross Up indicator 1.29
▲ AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.29
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.29
▲ FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.28
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.28
▲ AROON Strong Uptrend indicator 1.24
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.14
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.03
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.03
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.03
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.89
▼ Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 0.84
▼ Last Engulfing Top candlestick 0.73

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 4H chart shows a clear bearish reversal with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligning.
  • All timeframes from 15m to 1D are bearish, with solid trend scores on the mid-term charts.
  • Watch the nearest support at 0.07478; a break below could accelerate downside, while resistance at 0.08380 is the key invalidation level.
  • The signal has a 66% probability with moderate strength, so use proper position sizing and risk management.
The 4H chart for DOG/EUSDT has fired a cluster of bearish signals, with AROON Cross Up and AROON Strong Uptrend indicating that the recent upward momentum has stalled and is now reversing. The BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero-line crosses down confirm that selling pressure is building, while the STOCHF KD Cross Down adds a short-term bearish momentum signal. Overall, the trend is consistently bearish across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to the daily, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H charts, and a forming trend on the daily. This alignment suggests that the bearish move is likely to continue.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.08380, which previously acted as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 0.07478. A sustained break below support could open the path for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The probability of 66% with moderate strength indicates a decent but not overwhelming edge, so traders should manage risk accordingly and monitor the higher timeframe for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes (15m to 1D) supports the bearish bias.
  • ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing zero down confirms selling pressure.
  • ▼ The AROON Cross Up and Strong Uptrend indicate a failed rally, adding to bearish confluence.
  • ▼ The STOCHF KD Cross Down adds short-term bearish momentum confirmation.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The nearest resistance at 0.08380 is close; a reclaim above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ The daily timeframe shows only a forming trend (2/5), so the longer-term trend is not yet fully established.
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m charts are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▲ If the price holds above support and starts to form higher lows, the bearish momentum could fade.
Symbol DOGE/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 6%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-26 16:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.08380 2026-10-21
R2 0.08567 2026-10-14
R3 0.08814 2026-10-12
S1 0.07478 2026-10-24

Tags

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