ETH/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-26 16:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.17 %

Entry

2,318.20

Target

2,282.46 +1.54 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,526.62 −8.99 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,689 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,689 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.68 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.80 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.93 % 21 % at stop avg −3.77 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, ERI BULL Zero Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

42.8 % ↑ +6.9 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 25 % (2.15) ▼ Bearish 75 % (6.29)

model score 23.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for ETH/USDT

Full calendar

14:30TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.067MPrevious -3.060Min 14h
18:00TodayUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.00%in 17h
18:30TodayUSDFOMC Press Conference●●●in 18h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.06
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.91
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.47
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.01

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 4H chart with multiple indicators aligning.
Trend is solidly bearish from 1H to 12H, with daily trend still forming.
Key downside target is support at 2282.46; resistance at 2526.62 is the level to watch for invalidation.
The AO Saucer Bullish is a caution flag, suggesting momentum may be slowing.

The 4H SELL signal on ETH/USDT is backed by a cluster of bearish momentum and trend-following indicators. The STOCHF KD Cross Down and ERI BULL Zero Cross Down confirm a shift in short-term momentum, while the EMA Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down, and MIDPOINT Break Down indicate that price is retreating from key moving averages and the midpoint of a recent range. The HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down adds a structural element, suggesting a rejection from a higher-timeframe trendline. The TTM TREND Trend Down reinforces the bearish trend. The AO Saucer Bullish is the only conflicting signal, hinting at a potential deceleration of selling pressure, but the overall confluence remains strongly bearish.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent and solid from 1H up to 12H, with a 3/5 trend score, while the 15m and 30m are choppy but still bearish. The 1D timeframe shows a trend forming (2/5), indicating the bearish move may be developing on the daily chart. The nearest resistance at 2526.62 is a key level to watch for any pullback, while the nearest support at 2282.46 is the immediate downside target. A break below this support could open the door for further declines, but a failure to hold below the midpoint could lead to a bounce.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously, including STOCHF KD Cross Down and ERI BULL Zero Cross Down.
▼ Price retreating from EMA, SMA, and midpoint, indicating rejection from key levels.
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down adds structural confluence.
▼ Trend scores of 3/5 across 1H to 12H timeframes show strong alignment.

Risk Factors

▲ The AO Saucer Bullish suggests a possible deceleration of bearish momentum.
▲ Choppy price action on 15m and 30m could lead to false breakdowns.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 2526.62, the bearish thesis weakens.
▲ Daily trend only forming (2/5) means the larger timeframe is not yet fully bearish.