EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL
SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, ZLMA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +3 more
Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for EUR/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYUnemployment Rate●●○in 4h
- TodayJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.7%in 4h
- TodayJPYTokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y●●●Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.0%in 4h
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | HMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▼ | ZLMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▲ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | AO Saucer Bearish | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 1.21 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 1.05 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.80 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Bearish momentum is strong on the 1H and higher timeframes, with multiple indicators aligning.
- Watch the 176.226 resistance as the invalidation level; a break above would signal a failed setup.
- The 175.098 support is the immediate downside target; a break could extend the move.
- Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are still bullish, so expect possible pullbacks or choppy conditions.
Across timeframes, the bearish trend is well established from the 1H up to the 12H, with solid trend scores on the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H charts. However, the 15m and 30m are still bullish, which could provide temporary support or cause choppy price action. The nearest resistance at 176.226 is the key invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish setup. On the downside, the nearest support at 175.098 is the first target, and a break below could open the door to further declines.
- ▼ Trend alignment across 1H to 12H timeframes, all bearish and solid.
- ▼ Confluence of momentum indicators (BOP, AO, HMA, ZLMA) all pointing down.
- ▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Engulfing, Long Legged Doji) confirming seller control.
- ▼ High probability (81%) and strong signal strength.
- ▲ Bullish 15m and 30m timeframes could lead to short-term countertrend bounces.
- ▲ A break above 176.226 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
- ▲ Momentum may fade if price stalls near the 175.098 support, leading to consolidation.
- ▲ The 1D trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the longer-term bearish bias is not yet fully established.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 176.22600 | 2026-10-23 |
| R2 | 177.76700 | 2026-10-21 |
| R3 | 177.83400 | 2026-10-21 |
| S1 | 175.09800 | 2026-10-23 |