EUR/JPY – 4H – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.11 %
Entry
176.167
Target
175.269 +0.51 %
closes in profit
Stop
177.968 −1.02 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 513 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 513 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 18 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/JPY  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYUnemployment Rate●●○in 7h
  • TodayJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.7%in 7h
  • TodayJPYTokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y●●●Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.0%in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 14 × 4h 91%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.54
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.96
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.82
▲ HT SINE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.34
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.13

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum across multiple timeframes supports the sell signal.
  • The 4H signal aligns with a solid downtrend on higher timeframes, increasing its reliability.
  • Watch the 177.96800 resistance level; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Shorter-term bullish signals on 15m/30m suggest potential for a temporary bounce.
The 4H SELL signal on EUR/JPY is supported by a confluence of momentum and trend indicators. The DEMA Retreat Down and MAMA PRICE Retreat Down confirm that price is pulling back from recent highs, while the HT SINE Zero Cross Up and ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicate that the bearish momentum is strengthening after a brief bullish correction. The ER Level Cross Down adds to the bearish case, showing that the efficiency ratio is dropping, which typically aligns with a trending move.

The broader trend structure is firmly bearish across the 4H, 2H, 1H, 8H, and 12H timeframes, all with solid trend scores of 3/5. This alignment suggests that the sell signal is part of a larger downtrend rather than a counter-trend move. However, the 15m and 30m timeframes are showing bullish signals, which could indicate short-term bounce potential. The nearest resistance at 177.96800 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. With no nearby support, the downside could be open if momentum persists, but traders should remain cautious of the conflicting shorter-term bullish signals.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 1H to 12H timeframes, all showing solid bearish trends.
  • ▼ Multiple indicators (DEMA, MAMA, ER) confirming downside momentum.
  • ▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Up and ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicate strengthening bearish pressure.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Bullish signals on 15m and 30m timeframes could trigger a short-term retracement.
  • ▲ No nearby support means the move could be volatile if it accelerates.
  • ▲ If price breaks above 177.96800, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ The 1D timeframe shows only a forming trend, suggesting limited long-term conviction.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 91%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-26 10:50
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.96800 2026-10-16
R2 178.33800 2026-10-06
R3 179.31300 2026-10-01

Tags

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