EUR/USD – 2H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-26 15:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.59 %

Entry

1.11911

Target

1.12560 +0.58 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.11129 −0.70 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 843 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 843 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, Trendline Break Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 13.3 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 797 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

06:30TomorrowEURConsumer Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous -0.5%in 11h
06:30TomorrowEURGDP y/y●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 11h
06:30TomorrowEURGDP q/q●●○Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.0%in 11h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.51
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.31
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.82
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.33

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 2H buy signal is a counter-trend bounce within a strong daily downtrend.
Watch the 1.12560 resistance; a break could extend the bounce, but failure may lead to a reversal.
The 1.11806 support is the key invalidation level; a close below would negate the bullish setup.
Higher timeframe trends are bearish, so this signal is best treated as a short-term trade with tight risk management.

The 2H EUR/USD signal is a BUY, driven by a break above a trendline, a retreat upward from the lower Bollinger Band, a cross down of the HT PHASOR inphase line, a cross down of the ER level, and a break up of the HMA. These signals collectively suggest a short-term bullish reversal attempt within a broader bearish context. The trend across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with the daily timeframe showing a very strong downtrend (4/5), while intraday timeframes (15m to 2h) are bearish but only trend forming (2/5). The 4H and 8H are choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating a lack of clear momentum. The bullish signals on the 2H chart could represent a counter-trend bounce, but the higher timeframe trend alignment is not supportive of a sustained reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12560, which could cap upside, and the nearest support at 1.11806, which is the immediate downside risk. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals fired on the 2H chart, including a trendline break and HMA break up, indicating a shift in short-term momentum.
▲ The retreat from the lower Bollinger Band suggests a bounce from oversold conditions, which often leads to a corrective move higher.
▲ The HT PHASOR and ER crosses down may indicate a short-term shift in cycle direction, supporting a bullish move.
▲ Despite the bearish trend on higher timeframes, the 2H chart shows a cluster of bullish signals, increasing the probability of a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend across all timeframes is bearish, with the daily showing a very strong downtrend, which could overwhelm any short-term bullish momentum.
▼ The 1.12560 resistance is a nearby level that could halt the advance; if price fails to break above, the bullish signal may fade.
▼ The 4H and 8H timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear trend and potential for false breakouts.
▼ If price breaks below the 1.11806 support, the bullish signal is invalidated and a continuation of the downtrend is likely.