EUR/USD – 2H – SELL
SELL 12× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +13 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for EUR/USD
Full calendar- TomorrowEURGDP q/q●●○Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.0%in 9h
- TomorrowEURConsumer Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous -0.5%in 9h
- TomorrowEURGDP y/y●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 9h
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 12× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.01 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▼ | QSTICK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | KDJ Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.32 |
| ▲ | HMA Direction Up | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 0.92 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- All timeframes are bearish, with the daily chart showing a very strong downtrend, supporting the sell signal.
- A dense cluster of momentum and trend indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) all point to continued downside.
- Key levels to watch: resistance at 1.12560 and support at 1.11806; a break below support would confirm further decline.
- Choppy lower timeframes (15m-8h) suggest the move may be gradual, so patience with entries is advised.
Immediate resistance sits at 1.12560, while support is at 1.11806. A break below support would likely accelerate the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The high probability (96%) and very strong strength rating underscore the conviction behind the signal, but the choppy lower timeframes suggest that entry timing should be patient. Traders should watch for a sustained break below 1.11806 to confirm continuation, and monitor the daily trend for any signs of weakening.
- ▼ Strong trend alignment across all timeframes, especially the very strong daily bearish trend.
- ▼ High confluence of multiple indicator types (momentum, trend, and candlestick) all firing bearish signals.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC) all crossing below zero, indicating selling pressure is building.
- ▼ Retreat signals from DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, and KAMA suggest price is pulling back from overbought conditions.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways action on lower timeframes (15m-8h) could lead to false breakouts or prolonged consolidation.
- ▲ A reclaim of the 1.12560 resistance level would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
- ▲ If the daily trend weakens or momentum fades, the sell signal may lose conviction despite the high probability.
- ▲ The signal is on the 2H timeframe; a conflicting signal on a higher timeframe (e.g., daily) could override the bearish bias.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.12560 | 2026-10-22 |
| R2 | 1.12608 | 2026-10-20 |
| R3 | 1.12696 | 2026-10-16 |
| S1 | 1.11806 | 2026-10-19 |
| S2 | 1.11129 | 2026-10-14 |