GBP/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.03 %
Entry
210.254
Target
211.990 +0.83 %
closes in profit
Stop
209.548 −0.34 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,581 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,581 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, KAMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.2 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 14.5 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 546 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
GBP/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.7%in 2h
  • TodayJPYTokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y●●●Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.0%in 2h
  • TodayJPYUnemployment Rate●●○in 2h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 0%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.94
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.80
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.67
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.66
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.63
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 1.62
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.59
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.58
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.58
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.53
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.35
▲ Dragonfly Doji candlestick 1.26
▲ Takuri Line candlestick 1.13
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.98
▲ Short Line Bullish candlestick 0.86

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bullish momentum and moving-average signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bounce, with support at 209.54800 as the key floor.
  • The bullish signal is counter-trend: higher timeframes (1h and above) are bearish, so this is likely a retracement, not a reversal.
  • Watch the 210.48600 resistance as the immediate upside target; a break above could extend the bounce, but a close below 209.54800 invalidates the bullish setup.
  • Given the very strong signal probability but conflicting higher-timeframe trend, keep position sizes conservative and manage risk tightly.
The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a StochRSI KD cross up, Williams %R oversold entry, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) along with a higher-timeframe trendline retreat. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators suggests a short-term bounce is underway, with the nearest support at 209.54800 acting as the immediate floor. The signal's very strong probability (90%) reflects the alignment of these indicators, but the broader context is mixed: while the 30-minute and 15-minute timeframes are bullish, the higher timeframes (1h through 1d) remain bearish, with the 2h and 4h showing solid downtrends. This creates a classic counter-trend setup, where the bullish signal is likely a retracement within a larger downtrend rather than a reversal.

Traders should watch the nearest resistance at 210.48600 as the primary upside target; a break above this level could signal a deeper correction, but failure to hold above it would reinforce the bearish higher-timeframe bias. The invalidation level for the bullish signal is the nearest support at 209.54800—a close below this would negate the setup and likely accelerate the downtrend. Given the conflicting timeframes, position sizing should be conservative, and traders should be prepared for a quick move either way. The signal's strength is high, but the higher-timeframe trend is a significant headwind, so the bounce may be limited in scope.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) and a higher-timeframe trendline retreat align, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
  • ▲ StochRSI KD cross up and Williams %R oversold entry both point to a rebound from oversold conditions.
  • ▲ The 30-minute and 15-minute timeframes are bullish, providing short-term trend alignment for the signal.
  • ▲ Signal probability of 90% with very strong strength indicates a high-confidence setup based on the indicator confluence.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are all bearish, creating strong overhead resistance and a likely counter-trend bounce.
  • ▼ A close below the nearest support at 209.54800 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely trigger a resumption of the downtrend.
  • ▼ The 30-minute trend is described as choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▼ The bounce may stall at the nearest resistance (210.48600) if the broader downtrend persists, limiting upside potential.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-26 16:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 210.48600 2026-10-23
R2 211.99000 2026-10-22
S1 209.54800 2026-10-23
S2 209.11700 2026-10-23

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