NEAR/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −4.31 %
Entry
4.4800
Target
4.2500 +5.13 %
closes in profit
Stop
5.4510 −21.67 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,689 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,689 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +2.68 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.80 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.93 % 21 % at stop avg −3.77 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: TRIMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
37.9 % ↑ +2.0 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +15% Swing
▲ Bullish 7 % (1.34) ▼ Bearish 93 % (16.92)
model score 8.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 8 candles
NEAR/USDT  ·  4H
Loading…
Signal evolution

Events for NEAR/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.067MPrevious -3.060Min 13h
  • TodayUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.00%in 17h
  • TodayUSDFOMC Press Conference●●●in 17h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 4h 8%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CTI OB Exit indicator 2.20
▼ TRIMA Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.86
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.82
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 1.77
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.53
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.39
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.22
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.01
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 0.94
▼ Long Line Bearish candlestick 0.91

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 4H with high probability (81%) and strong strength.
  • All timeframes align bearish, though shorter timeframes are choppy, suggesting the trend is still forming.
  • Key levels: resistance at 5.45100, support at 4.25000.
  • Watch for a break below 4.25000 to confirm further downside.
The 4H SELL signal on NEA/RUSDT is backed by a broad cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators, including CCI exiting overbought territory, multiple zero-line crossovers (MOM, ROC, ROCR), a stochastic cross down, and price breaking below the middle Bollinger Band and the EMA retreat. The signal is reinforced by a bearish trendline break on the higher timeframe, with 15 additional signals across candlestick and indicator groups, giving it strong conviction.

Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish, though momentum is still building. The 2H, 4H, 8H, and 1D timeframes show a trend forming, while shorter timeframes (15m to 1h) are choppy and sideways, indicating that the sell-off may be in its early stages. The nearest resistance at 5.45100 is a key level to watch for any pullback, while the nearest support at 4.25000 is the immediate downside target. A break below this support would likely accelerate the bearish move.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Broad confluence of momentum and trend indicators all pointing down.
  • ▼ Bearish trendline break on the higher timeframe adds weight.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish alignment across all timeframes, even if some are choppy.
  • ▼ Strong signal strength and high probability.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Shorter timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could lead to a pause or pullback before the trend continues.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the middle Bollinger Band and EMA, the bearish signal could weaken.
  • ▲ A move back above 5.45100 would invalidate the immediate bearish setup.
  • ▲ Momentum may be fading if the stochastic and CCI start to turn up.
Symbol NEAR/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 8%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-26 16:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 5.45100 2026-10-21
R2 6.00000 2026-10-12
S1 4.25000 2026-10-24

Tags

Similar Signals