NZD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-26 14:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.28 %

Entry

0.56801

Target

0.57042 +0.42 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56678 −0.22 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,345 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,345 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Break Up, HMA Break Up, CCI OS Exit +5 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.2 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 14.5 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 546 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

12:30TomorrowUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 17h
13:45TomorrowUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 18h
15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	2.67
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.53
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.93
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.49
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.30
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.03
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	0.84

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish reversal cluster on the 1H chart suggests a bounce from oversold conditions.
The bounce is counter-trend against the daily and shorter-term bearish trends, so treat it as a correction unless resistance breaks.
Key levels: resistance at 0.57042, support at 0.56678. A close below support invalidates the bullish setup.
Higher timeframe alignment is mixed; watch the 4H and 1D trends for confirmation or reversal.

The 1H NZD/USD signal fires a cluster of bullish reversal indicators after a sharp decline: CCI has exited oversold, STOCH has crossed up, price has retreated above the lower Bollinger Band, and both EMA 200 and SMA 200 have turned up from below. The HMA and ZLMA break ups add momentum confirmation, while the QQE midline cross down (interpreted as a bullish cross) reinforces the shift. This confluence suggests that the immediate downside momentum has stalled and a counter-trend bounce is underway.

However, the higher timeframe backdrop is mixed. The 15m, 30m, and 1D trends remain bearish, and the 1H trend is still forming (2/5), so the bounce is occurring against the larger daily downtrend. The 8H and 12H timeframes are bullish, providing some support for a longer-term recovery, but the 4H is bearish and choppy. The immediate upside target is resistance at 0.57042, with support at 0.56678 as the key invalidation level. A break above resistance could extend the bounce, while a loss of support would negate the bullish signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (CCI, STOCH, Bollinger Bands, EMA/SMA 200, HMA, ZLMA) align in the bullish direction on the 1H chart.
▲ The 8H and 12H timeframes are bullish, providing a longer-term tailwind.
▲ Price is holding above the nearest support at 0.56678, which has not been broken.
▲ The signal strength is very strong with a 90% probability, indicating high confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ The 15m, 30m, and 1D trends are bearish, so the bounce could be a temporary pullback within a larger downtrend.
▼ The 1H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), meaning the bullish reversal is not yet fully established.
▼ The 4H trend is bearish and choppy, which could cap upside momentum.
▼ If price breaks below support at 0.56678, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.