USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.18 %
Entry
1.40449
Target
1.39684 +0.54 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.40821 −0.26 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average −1.09 % per trade 1,316 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,316 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −9.17 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.6 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 619 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CAD  ·  1H
Loading…
Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDGDP Sales q/q●●●Forecast 2.7%Previous 2.8%in 17h
  • TomorrowUSDReal PCE q/q●●○Forecast 3.5%Previous 3.8%in 17h
  • TomorrowUSDGDP q/q●●●Forecast 1.4%Previous 2.2%in 17h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 4%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.00
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.63
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.56
▲ APO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.48
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.71

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish momentum signals on the 1H align with strong bearish trends on 4H, 8H, and 1D, suggesting a continuation of the larger downtrend.
  • The 1H itself is choppy/sideways, and lower timeframes (15m-30m) are bullish, so the sell signal may be early or part of a pullback.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.40821 and support at 1.39684; a break below support favors the bearish case, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.
  • The combination of indicator crossovers and a bearish candlestick pattern increases confidence, but watch for conflicting lower timeframe bullishness.
The 1H USD/CAD signal is a confluence of bearish momentum and candlestick reversal cues. The APO Zero Cross Up and BOP Zero Cross Down both indicate a shift in buying vs. selling pressure, while the STOCH KD Cross Down confirms a bearish momentum crossover. The EMA 200 Retreat Down shows price pulling back from a key moving average, and the Spinning Top Bearish candlestick highlights indecision that resolved downward. Together, these signals suggest a short-term bearish push within a broader context where higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are firmly bearish, but the immediate lower timeframes (15m-2H) are still showing bullish or sideways tendencies, creating a mixed but leaning-bearish picture.

Alignment is strongest on the 4H timeframe, which shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), supported by 8H and 1D solid bearish trends. However, the 1H itself is choppy/sideways (1/5), and the 15m/30m are bullish, which could mean the bearish move is a pullback within a larger bullish correction or a fresh bearish leg. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 1.40821 and support at 1.39684. A break below support would confirm the bearish signal, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong bearish trend on 4H (4/5) and solid bearish trends on 8H and 1D provide higher-timeframe alignment.
  • ▼ APO and BOP zero crossovers signal a clear shift in momentum and pressure, reinforcing the sell bias.
  • ▼ STOCH KD cross down adds confirmation of bearish momentum, and EMA 200 retreat shows price pulling back from a key level.
  • ▼ The Spinning Top Bearish pattern indicates a rejection of higher prices, supporting a short-term down move.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 1H trend is choppy/sideways (1/5) and lower timeframes (15m-30m) are bullish, which could lead to a false breakdown or a bounce.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 1.40821, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the pullback could turn into a reversal.
  • ▲ The bearish signal may be a short-term correction within a larger bullish phase on the 1H, so momentum could fade quickly.
  • ▲ Watch for any divergence between the 4H very strong bearish trend and the 1H choppy action; a failure to follow through on lower timeframes could signal exhaustion.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 4%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-26 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40821 2026-10-21
R2 1.42223 2026-10-15
R3 1.43000 2026-10-14
S1 1.39684 2026-10-23

Tags

Similar Signals