USD/CAD – 1H – SELL
SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +1 more
Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for USD/CAD
Full calendar- TomorrowUSDGDP Sales q/q●●●Forecast 2.7%Previous 2.8%in 17h
- TomorrowUSDReal PCE q/q●●○Forecast 3.5%Previous 3.8%in 17h
- TomorrowUSDGDP q/q●●●Forecast 1.4%Previous 2.2%in 17h
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▲ | APO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 0.71 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Bearish momentum signals on the 1H align with strong bearish trends on 4H, 8H, and 1D, suggesting a continuation of the larger downtrend.
- The 1H itself is choppy/sideways, and lower timeframes (15m-30m) are bullish, so the sell signal may be early or part of a pullback.
- Key levels: resistance at 1.40821 and support at 1.39684; a break below support favors the bearish case, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.
- The combination of indicator crossovers and a bearish candlestick pattern increases confidence, but watch for conflicting lower timeframe bullishness.
Alignment is strongest on the 4H timeframe, which shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), supported by 8H and 1D solid bearish trends. However, the 1H itself is choppy/sideways (1/5), and the 15m/30m are bullish, which could mean the bearish move is a pullback within a larger bullish correction or a fresh bearish leg. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 1.40821 and support at 1.39684. A break below support would confirm the bearish signal, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.
- ▼ Strong bearish trend on 4H (4/5) and solid bearish trends on 8H and 1D provide higher-timeframe alignment.
- ▼ APO and BOP zero crossovers signal a clear shift in momentum and pressure, reinforcing the sell bias.
- ▼ STOCH KD cross down adds confirmation of bearish momentum, and EMA 200 retreat shows price pulling back from a key level.
- ▼ The Spinning Top Bearish pattern indicates a rejection of higher prices, supporting a short-term down move.
- ▲ The 1H trend is choppy/sideways (1/5) and lower timeframes (15m-30m) are bullish, which could lead to a false breakdown or a bounce.
- ▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 1.40821, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the pullback could turn into a reversal.
- ▲ The bearish signal may be a short-term correction within a larger bullish phase on the 1H, so momentum could fade quickly.
- ▲ Watch for any divergence between the 4H very strong bearish trend and the 1H choppy action; a failure to follow through on lower timeframes could signal exhaustion.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.40821 | 2026-10-21 |
| R2 | 1.42223 | 2026-10-15 |
| R3 | 1.43000 | 2026-10-14 |
| S1 | 1.39684 | 2026-10-23 |