USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.04 %
Entry
1.40180
Target
1.40821 +0.46 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.39684 −0.35 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,581 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,581 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 631 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSD7-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 5.085%in 11m
  • TomorrowCADGDP y/y●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.4%in 19h
  • TomorrowCADGDP m/m●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.0%in 19h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 2%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.33
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.32
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.28
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.28
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.27
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.26
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▲ QQE Midline Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.69
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.60
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 1.20
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.05
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.02
▲ SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Up indicator3 0.00

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong 30-minute buy signal with high probability and very strong strength.
  • Multiple indicators align bullish: BOP, Stoch F, WILLR, and several moving-average retreats.
  • Immediate upside target is resistance at 1.40187; support at 1.39684 is the invalidation level.
  • Higher timeframes (2h to 1d) are bearish, so the buy is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
The 30-minute USD/CAD buy signal is driven by a strong cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators, including a BOP zero cross up, Stoch F KD cross up, WILLR overbought entry, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA, MA). These signals suggest that intraday buyers are stepping in after a pullback, with the potential for a bounce toward the nearest resistance at 1.40187. However, the broader picture is mixed: the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes show bullish but choppy or forming trends, while the 2h through daily timeframes are predominantly bearish, with the 4h showing a very strong downtrend. This creates a conflict: the bullish signals are short-term and may merely represent a counter-trend correction within a larger downtrend. Therefore, the immediate bias is for a retest of resistance, but sustained upside requires a break and hold above that level to shift the higher-timeframe outlook.

Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 1.40187 and nearest support at 1.39684. A move above resistance would confirm short-term bullish momentum and possibly attract additional buying, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the bearish trend. Given the high probability and strong strength of the signal, the immediate reaction is likely bullish, but traders should be cautious of the bearish higher timeframes, as they may cap rallies and encourage a reversal. The choppy nature of the intraday trends (only 1/5 trend score on the 30m and 1h) also suggests that price action may be ranging, so patience and confirmation are essential.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of numerous indicators in the same direction (BOP, Stoch F, WILLR, and moving averages) increases signal reliability.
  • ▲ Buy signal follows a retreat (pullback) in multiple trend-following indicators, suggesting a potential bounce from oversold conditions.
  • ▲ The 15m to 1h timeframes are bullish, supporting a short-term upward bias.
  • ▲ High probability (95%) and very strong strength indicate robust alignment of intraday momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Dominant bearish trend on 2h and higher timeframes, especially the very strong 4h downtrend, may cap upside.
  • ▼ Choppy, sideways conditions on the 30m and 1h (only 1/5 trend score) could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▼ A drop below nearest support at 1.39684 invalidates the signal and likely triggers renewed selling.
  • ▼ The WILLR overbought entry may indicate limited immediate upside if price is already stretched.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 2%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-26 11:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40187 2026-10-23
R2 1.40442 2026-10-22
R3 1.40821 2026-10-21
S1 1.39684 2026-10-23

Tags

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