USD/CHF – 2H – SELL

SELL 11× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.20 %
Entry
0.82669
Target
0.81916 +0.91 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83950 −1.55 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 843 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 843 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Down, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 631 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CHF  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TomorrowCHFKOF Economic Barometer●●○in 12h
  • TomorrowUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 17h
  • TomorrowUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 18h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 2h 0%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross indicator 2.57
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.65
▼ KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat indicator 1.65
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.63
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.36
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.30
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 1.08
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.72

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 2H chart points to a likely downward move.
  • The Golden Cross on EMA 20/50 is being overridden by multiple downside momentum signals, suggesting the bullish phase is ending.
  • Support at 0.81916 is the key level to watch; a break below would confirm the bearish trend.
  • Resistance at 0.83950 is the invalidation level; a move above would negate the sell signal.
The 2H chart for USD/CHF has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, EMA 20/50 Golden Cross, SMA 200 Retreat Down, and a Keltner Upper Retreat. The Golden Cross suggests a prior bullish bias, but the simultaneous downside momentum signals indicate that the recent advance is stalling and reversing. The ZSCORE Extreme High Exit adds weight, as price had moved far above the mean and is now reverting.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) still show a solid bullish trend, while the 4H is bullish but solid, and the 8H, 12H, and 1D are bearish. This suggests that the 2H sell signal is part of a larger bearish correction within a longer-term downtrend, but the immediate bullish pressure on lower timeframes could cause pullbacks. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.83950 and support at 0.81916. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH, SMA 200, Keltner) are aligned in the bearish direction, increasing confluence.
  • ▼ The ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests price was overextended and is now reverting to the mean.
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, supporting the idea that the 2H sell is part of a larger downtrend.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are still bullish, which could cause short-term bounces against the signal.
  • ▲ The Golden Cross on EMA 20/50 is a bullish signal that could still play out if price holds above support.
  • ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 0.83950, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
  • ▲ The 4H is bullish and solid, which may conflict with the 2H bearish signal.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-26 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83950 2026-10-14
S1 0.81916 2026-10-22

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