USD/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.02 %
Entry
0.82753
Target
0.81917 +1.01 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83161 −0.49 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,581 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,581 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.5 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 631 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CHF  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TomorrowCHFKOF Economic Barometer●●○in 12h
  • TomorrowUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 17h
  • TomorrowUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 18h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 3%
conviction per candle 12× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 12× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.35
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.33
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.25
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.24
▲ Northern Doji candlestick 0.75

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Short-term momentum has turned bearish with multiple indicators aligning for a sell.
  • Higher timeframes (4h and above) support the bearish case, but lower timeframes are still bullish.
  • The key level to watch is support at 0.81917; a break below could accelerate the decline.
  • The signal is very strong with a high probability, but conflicting lower timeframe trends warrant caution.
The USD/CHF 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, and a Northern Doji candlestick. These signals collectively indicate a shift in short-term momentum from buying to selling pressure, with the candlestick pattern suggesting indecision that is resolving to the downside. The high probability and very strong strength of the signal underscore the conviction behind this bearish move.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish on the higher timeframes. The 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts all show bearish trends, with the 4-hour trend being solid. However, the 15-minute and 30-minute charts are still bullish, which could provide some near-term support or cause a bounce. The 1-hour and 2-hour charts are choppy and sideways, offering little directional clarity. The nearest support is at 0.81917, which is a key level to watch. If this level is broken, it could open the door for further downside. Conversely, a failure to break below this support could lead to a consolidation or reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously, including BOP, STOCHF, HT PHASOR, HMA, and a Northern Doji.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, providing a broader context for the sell.
  • ▼ The signal has a very strong strength rating and a high probability of success.
  • ▼ The presence of a candlestick pattern (Northern Doji) adds confluence to the technical indicators.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are still bullish, which could lead to a short-term bounce against the signal.
  • ▲ The 1-hour and 2-hour trends are choppy and sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction.
  • ▲ If the price holds above support at 0.81917, the bearish move could stall or reverse.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the STOCHF and BOP indicators revert quickly, invalidating the signal.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 3%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-26 14:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 0.81917 2026-10-23
S2 0.81916 2026-10-22

Tags

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