USD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY 11× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-26 13:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.21 %

Entry

157.577

Target

158.603 +0.65 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.075 −0.95 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 843 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 843 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 50 Break Up, ALMA Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 631 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30TodayJPYUnemployment Rate●●○in 5h
23:30TodayJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.7%in 5h
23:30TodayJPYTokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y●●●Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.0%in 5h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA 50 Break Up	indicator	3.69
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.72
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.39
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.36
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.32
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.28
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.18
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.18
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.89
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.21
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.18

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong 2H buy signal (93%) but higher timeframes are bearish—treat as counter-trend.
Lower timeframes (15m–1h) are bullish but only forming, so momentum is early.
Key upside level: 158.60300 resistance; key downside invalidation: 156.07500 support.
Watch for a break above resistance to confirm trend shift; a drop to support invalidates the signal.

The USD/JPY 2H signal fires a high-probability BUY (93%, very strong) driven by a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators: STOCHF KD Cross Down, DEMA/EMA/KAMA/MA retreats up, EMA 50 Break Up, and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, plus a MAMA Cross Up and additional candlestick confirmations. This suggests a sharp, short-term bullish impulse is trying to assert itself against the prevailing bearish structure on the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H all bearish). The lower timeframes (15m–1h) are all bullish but only 'trend forming' (2/5), indicating early-stage momentum rather than a mature uptrend.

Tactically, the nearest resistance at 158.60300 is the immediate upside objective; a break above would confirm the bullish reversal and could shift the higher-timeframe trend scores. The nearest support at 156.07500 is the key invalidation zone—if price falls below this, the bullish signal is void and the bearish higher-timeframe trend likely resumes. The divergence between the bullish lower timeframes and bearish higher timeframes creates a tug-of-war; the signal is strong but not yet aligned across the board, so traders should treat this as a counter-trend opportunity with defined risk levels.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (STOCHF, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) all firing bullish simultaneously.
▲ Candlestick confirmation adds confluence to the indicator cluster.
▲ Lower timeframe bullish alignment (15m–1h) supports the immediate move.
▲ High probability score (93%) and very strong strength suggest high conviction in the signal.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are bearish and solid—strong opposing trend.
▼ If price fails to hold above the 156.07500 support, the bullish signal is invalidated.
▼ Trend scores on lower timeframes are only 2/5, indicating the bullish trend is not yet firmly established.
▼ Resistance at 158.60300 may cap upside if the higher-timeframe bearish pressure persists.