USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-26 11:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %

Entry

157.337

Target

158.251 +0.58 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.311 −0.65 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,376 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,376 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross, FISHER Zero Cross Up, QQE Midline Cross Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +19.6 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 91 % (40.65) ▼ Bearish 9 % (4.04)

model score 91.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.2 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 15.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 588 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

17:00TodayUSD2-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.787%in 3h
05:00TomorrowJPYBoJ Weighted Median Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 1.5%Previous 1.5%in 15h
05:00TomorrowJPYBoJ Trimmed Mean Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.1%Previous 2.2%in 15h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	3.23
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.90
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.65
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30m chart are likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish trend.
Higher timeframes (2h, 4h) are clearly bearish, so upside may be limited.
Watch the 157.357 resistance and 156.311 support for direction.
The signal is weak (62% probability) and should be traded with tight risk management.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is a mixed bag. The lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are showing bullish momentum, supported by a Golden Cross on the 20/50 EMA, a Fisher Zero Cross Up, and a QQE Midline Cross Up. The BOP Zero Cross Down and EMA/SMA 200 Retreat Down suggest a pullback within a larger bearish trend, which could be a counter-trend bounce. The Bearish Engulfing pattern on the 30m timeframe adds a note of caution, indicating potential selling pressure even as the indicators flash bullish.

However, the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) are firmly bearish, with solid trend scores. This creates a conflict: the bullish signals on the lower timeframes may be a temporary correction within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 157.357 is a critical level; a break above it could signal a shift, but until then, the bearish bias on higher timeframes likely caps upside. The nearest support at 156.311 is the key level to watch for invalidation of the bullish signal. Given the weak strength and conflicting timeframes, this signal should be treated with caution, likely as a short-term scalping opportunity rather than a trend trade.

Catalysts

▲ Golden Cross on the 20/50 EMA and Fisher Zero Cross Up indicate short-term bullish momentum.
▲ QQE Midline Cross Up adds confirmation of bullish momentum on the 30m timeframe.
▲ The 1h timeframe is showing a forming uptrend, which could support the bounce.
▲ The price is still above the nearest support, so the bullish setup has room to play out.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h) are solidly bearish, which could overwhelm the lower-timeframe bullish signals.
▼ The Bearish Engulfing pattern on the 30m chart suggests immediate selling pressure that could invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 156.311 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely accelerate the downtrend.
▼ The BOP Zero Cross Down and EMA/SMA 200 Retreat Down indicate that the broader trend is still down, so the bounce may be short-lived.