DOT/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +1.91 %
Entry
0.9970
Target
1.2030 +20.66 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.9651 −3.20 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,718 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,718 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
31 % at target avg +2.67 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.91 % 21 % at stop avg −3.75 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Signal Cross Up, HMA Break Up, SMI Signal Cross Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
62.9 % ↑ +23.2 vs previous candle
MODERATE Swing
▲ Bullish 82 % (23.02) ▼ Bearish 18 % (4.95)
model score 82.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 7 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.2 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 39.8 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 1,838 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
DOT/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for DOT/USDT

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDGDP Sales q/q●●●Forecast 2.7%Previous 2.8%in 14h
  • TomorrowUSDGDP q/q●●●Forecast 1.4%Previous 2.2%in 14h
  • TomorrowUSDCore PCE Price Index y/y●●●Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 14h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 4h 82%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 2.26
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 1.91
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.89
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.83
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.80
▲ RSX OS Exit indicator 1.79
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.72
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.67
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.65
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.64
▲ TEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.58
▲ KST Signal Cross Up indicator 1.52
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.04

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 4H, but against the broader bearish trend.
  • Watch the 1.20300 resistance; a break above could shift momentum.
  • Expect a counter-trend bounce, not a trend reversal.
  • Use tight stops due to lack of clear support and conflicting timeframes.
The 4H signal is a strong bullish confluence, with 15 indicators firing together, including CCI and RSX exiting oversold, MACD and KDJ crossing up, and TEMA and BBANDS retreating upward. This suggests a powerful momentum shift from oversold conditions, likely catalyzing a bounce. However, the broader trend context is predominantly bearish across timeframes, with solid bearish trends on the 2H and 4H, and choppy/sideways action elsewhere. This creates a conflict: the signal suggests a short-term counter-trend rally, but the higher timeframe trend is against it.

The key level to watch is the nearest resistance at 1.20300, which aligns with the bearish trend's overhead supply. A sustained move above this level would be needed to shift the trend structure, but the signal's strength and multiple confirmations suggest a potential for a sharp retracement. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a larger downtrend, with tight risk management. The absence of a defined support level increases uncertainty, so the invalidation is likely a failure to hold above the breakout zone or a quick reversal below the signal's entry range.
Catalysts
  • ▲ 15 indicators firing together, including CCI and RSX oversold exits, signal a powerful momentum shift.
  • ▲ MACD and KDJ cross-ups confirm bullish momentum at the 4H level.
  • ▲ TEMA and BBANDS retreating up indicate price moving away from lower bounds, supporting a bounce.
  • ▲ Signal strength 'very strong' and high probability (92%) add conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H) are solidly bearish, suggesting the rally may be short-lived.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 1.20300 is a key barrier; failure to break it could lead to a fade.
  • ▼ No defined support level increases uncertainty; a quick reversal could invalidate the signal.
  • ▼ Momentum may fade if the broader downtrend resumes, especially with choppy action on other timeframes.
Symbol DOT/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 82%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-10-27 16:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.20300 2026-10-23
R2 1.21300 2026-10-16
R3 1.28400 2026-10-12

Tags

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