EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %
Entry
1.59030
Target
1.58741 +0.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.59413 −0.24 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,376 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,376 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +14% Scalping
▲ Bullish 3 % (1.54) ▼ Bearish 97 % (46.46)
model score 96.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
EUR/AUD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURECB Households Loans y/y●●○Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.1%in 2h
  • TodayEURECB President Lagarde Speech●●●in 10h
  • TodayEURJobseekers Total●●○Forecast 3104.4KPrevious 3081.7Kin 16h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 97%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 05:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.29
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.25
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.21
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.20
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.17
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.16
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.11
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.70
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.64
▲ RSX OS Exit indicator 1.57
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.30
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.15
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 1.09

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on the 30M chart with 90% probability and very strong strength.
  • Multiple indicators align: BOP, DX Trend, STOCHF, and several retreat signals all point down.
  • Bearish trend across lower timeframes (15m-4h) supports the move; higher timeframes are neutral/choppy.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.59413, support at 1.58890; a break below support confirms bearish momentum.
The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart is flashing a very strong bearish signal, with a 90% probability on a SELL direction. The confluence of multiple indicators—BOP Zero Cross Down, DX Trend Weak, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and a cluster of retreat signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT)—points to a coordinated move lower. This is further supported by a bearish trend across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to 4 hours, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 30m, 2h, and 4h charts. The 1-hour trend is still forming (2/5), suggesting the move is gaining traction, while the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are choppy and sideways, indicating that the broader context lacks a strong bearish push but is not conflicting. The nearest resistance at 1.59413 and support at 1.58890 define the immediate trading range; a break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a push above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Traders should watch for a test of the 1.58890 support level. The alignment of multiple retreat signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT) suggests that price is pulling back from recent highs, and the BOP Zero Cross Down indicates a shift in buying pressure. The STOCHF KD Cross Down adds a momentum component, reinforcing the bearish case. However, the choppy higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) mean that the move could be a corrective pullback within a larger consolidation rather than the start of a major downtrend. Therefore, while the short-term signals are strongly bearish, traders should manage risk by monitoring the support level and be prepared for a potential bounce if the higher timeframe sideways action reasserts itself.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 2h, and 4h timeframes (all solid bearish).
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator types (momentum, trend, and price location) firing together.
  • ▼ Retreat signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT) indicate price pulling back from recent highs.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm bearish momentum shift.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are choppy/sideways, which may limit the follow-through.
  • ▲ The 1-hour trend is only forming (2/5), so the move could stall if it doesn't gain traction.
  • ▲ If price fails to break below 1.58890 support, the bearish signal may fade.
  • ▲ A move above 1.59413 resistance would invalidate the signal and suggest a false breakdown.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-27 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.59413 2026-10-27
R2 1.59438 2026-10-26
R3 1.59771 2026-10-26
S1 1.58890 2026-10-26

Tags

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