EUR/CHF – 8H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.27 %
Entry
0.92177
Target
0.91769 +0.44 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.93348 −1.27 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 291 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 291 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.65 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.42 % 18 % at stop avg −0.59 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, HMA Break Down, EMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 7 % (2.62) ▼ Bearish 93 % (33.23)
model score 92.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 9 candles
EUR/CHF  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/CHF

Full calendar
  • November 2, 2026EURRetail Sales m/m●●○Forecast -0.2%Previous 1.3%in 2 days
  • November 2, 2026CHFprocure.ch Manufacturing PMI●●○in 2 days
  • November 3, 2026CHFCPI m/m●●●Forecast -0.2%Previous 0.0%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 9 × 8h 93%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.42
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 2.39
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.18
▼ SMA Break Down indicator 2.12
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.02
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.02
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.02
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.81
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.81
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.81
▼ TRIMA Retreat Down indicator 1.64
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.40
▼ Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 8H sell signal is reinforced by a cluster of moving-average and trendline retreats, indicating strong bearish momentum.
  • All timeframes from 1H to 1D are bearish, with the 12H showing a very strong trend, supporting the continuation of the downtrend.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 0.93348 as a key invalidation zone; a break above it would weaken the bearish case.
  • The nearest support at 0.91769 is the immediate downside target; a break below could open further downside.
The SELL signal on EUR/CHF is backed by a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators on the 8H timeframe. The MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero-line cross-ups initially suggested short-term upward momentum, but the simultaneous EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, and SMA Break Down signals indicate that this momentum is being rejected within a broader bearish framework. The confluence of these moving-average and trendline retreats points to a continuation of the downtrend after a brief pullback.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, with the 12H showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 1H, 4H, 8H, and 1D all registering solid trends (3/5). The lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are choppy, which may cause short-term noise, but the higher timeframe alignment supports the sell signal. Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.93348, which now acts as a ceiling, and nearest support at 0.91769, which is the next downside target. A break below this support could accelerate the decline.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend across multiple timeframes, with the 12H showing a very strong trend score.
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple moving-average retreats and a trendline retreat on the 8H, all pointing in the same direction.
  • ▼ The SMA Break Down adds a technical break that often signals a continuation of the prevailing downtrend.
  • ▼ Strong trend score (3/5) on the 8H and 1D suggests the bearish momentum is not just a short-term blip.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The choppy conditions on the 15m and 30m timeframes could lead to false signals and short-term whipsaws.
  • ▲ The MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero cross-ups indicate a recent upward push; if this momentum builds, it could stall the downtrend.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.93348 would invalidate the sell signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ The 1D timeframe, though bearish, is only a 3/5 strength; if it weakens, the higher timeframe support could fade.
Symbol EUR/CHF
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Conviction 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-27 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.93348 2026-10-14
R2 0.94862 2026-09-30
S1 0.91769 2026-07-02

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