EUR/JPY – 12H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %
Entry
175.705
Target
177.968 +1.29 %
closes in profit
Stop
169.850 −3.33 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 203 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 203 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.72 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.51 % 18 % at stop avg −0.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
39.7 % ↓ −21.3 vs previous candle
WEAK Position
▲ Bullish 100 % (14.14) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 26.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 6 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 16.3 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 502 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/JPY  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 2, 2026EURRetail Sales m/m●●○Forecast -0.2%Previous 1.3%in 2 days
  • November 4, 2026EURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 4 days
  • November 4, 2026EURCPI●●●Previous 104.31in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 6 × 12h 26%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.21
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.13

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish momentum signals have fired on the 12H chart, but the broader trend is still bearish.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 177.968 for a potential breakout or rejection.
  • The signals may represent a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal.
  • Higher timeframe trends are solidly bearish, so caution is advised.
The EUR/JPY 12H chart has fired two bullish momentum signals: a Balance of Power (BOP) Zero Cross Up and a Stochastic Fast (STOCHF) KD Cross Up. These indicators suggest that buying pressure is beginning to emerge and that short-term momentum is turning upward. However, the broader trend across timeframes remains predominantly bearish, with solid downtrends on the 8H and 12H charts and a trend forming on the 4H and 1D. This creates a conflict: the bullish signals are firing against the prevailing trend, which could indicate a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch include the nearest resistance at 177.968. A break above this level could signal that the bullish momentum is gaining traction, potentially leading to a larger correction or reversal. Conversely, if the price fails to hold above this level and the bearish trend resumes, the signals could quickly fade. Given the strong probability and very strong strength of the signals, traders should monitor price action around this resistance, but remain cautious because the higher timeframe trend is still bearish.
Catalysts
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicates buying pressure is increasing.
  • ▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up confirms short-term upward momentum.
  • ▲ Signal probability is 100% with very strong strength.
  • ▲ The signals are firing on the 12H timeframe, which is a higher timeframe than the immediate trend.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant trend across multiple timeframes is bearish, which could overpower the bullish signals.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 177.968 may act as a ceiling, limiting upside.
  • ▼ The 15m and 1H trends are bearish, suggesting conflicting signals on lower timeframes.
  • ▼ If the price fails to break above resistance, the bullish momentum could fade quickly.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 12H
Direction BUY
Conviction 26%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-27 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.96800 2026-10-16
R2 181.54500 2026-09-18
R3 185.98100 2026-08-28

Tags

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