GBP/USD – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.06 %
Entry
1.33236
Target
1.31369 +1.40 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.34191 −0.72 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 490 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 490 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, ALMA Break Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 2 % (0.87) ▼ Bearish 98 % (42.92)
model score 98.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
GBP/USD  ·  4H
Loading…
Signal evolution

Events for GBP/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDCore Durable Goods Orders m/m●●○Forecast 1.0%Previous 0.3%in 1h
  • TodayUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 1h
  • TodayUSDS&P/CS HPI Composite-20 n.s.a. m/m●●○in 2h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.87
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.76
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.66
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.50
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.49
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 2.45
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.26
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.23
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.22
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.20
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.78
▼ EMA 200 Break Down indicator 1.69
▼ KST Zero Cross Down indicator 1.53
▼ QQE Midline Cross Down indicator 1.33
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 0.87

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 4H with 98% probability and multiple indicator confirmations.
  • Lower timeframes (15m-4h) are all bearish and aligned, supporting the downtrend.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.34191 and support at 1.31369—watch for breaks.
  • Be cautious: higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy, and 1D is still bullish.
The GBP/USD 4H signal is decisively bearish, with a very strong probability of 98% and a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators all retreating downward. This includes the DEMA, EMA, KAMA, and MA retreats, plus the EMA 200 break down and a higher-timeframe trendline retreat, indicating a broad-based shift in momentum. The alignment across lower timeframes (15m through 4h) is uniformly bearish with solid trend scores, reinforcing the immediate downtrend. However, the 8H and 12H timeframes show choppy/sideways action, and the 1D is still bullish, suggesting this is a corrective move within a larger bullish structure rather than a full reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.34191 and support at 1.31369. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish thesis. The confluence of multiple indicator retreats and the EMA 200 break down adds weight to the signal, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend warns of potential consolidation. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation or invalidation.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Uniform bearish trend across 15m to 4H timeframes (all solid 3/5).
  • ▼ Multiple indicator retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, etc.) show strong momentum shift.
  • ▼ EMA 200 break down and HT trendline retreat add confluence to the bearish case.
  • ▼ Very strong signal strength (98% probability) suggests high conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy/sideways, which may lead to consolidation.
  • ▲ 1D timeframe is still bullish (trend forming), indicating a possible larger uptrend.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 1.34191 resistance, the bearish thesis is weakened.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the move stalls near support, leading to a bounce.
Symbol GBP/USD
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 98%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-27 05:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.34191 2026-10-22
S1 1.31369 2026-10-14

Tags

Similar Signals