USD/CHF – 4H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.07 %
Entry
0.82853
Target
0.83950 +1.32 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.81916 −1.13 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 532 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 532 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Up, SUPERTREND Flip Bullish, DEMA Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/CHF  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 1h
  • TodayUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 2h
  • November 2, 2026CHFprocure.ch Manufacturing PMI●●○in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 12 × 4h 81%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 2.05
▲ SUPERTREND Flip Bullish indicator 2.02
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.84
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.84
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.63
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.58
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.56
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.52
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.51
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.39
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.36
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.22
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.19
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish confluence on the 4H chart with 12 indicators aligned.
  • Momentum is shifting to buyers, but higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are still bearish.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 0.83950; a break above would strengthen the case.
  • Support at 0.81916 is the invalidation level; a drop below would negate the signal.
The USD/CHF 4-hour signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a very strong probability of 90% and a cluster of twelve indicators aligning. The BOP Zero Cross Up signals a shift in buying pressure, while the STOCH KD Cross Down and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicate momentum is turning in favor of buyers. The multiple EMA, DEMA, KAMA, and MAMA retreats up show that price is pulling back to moving averages and bouncing, which is a classic continuation pattern in an uptrend. The candlestick group adds confirmation of bullish price action.

Across timeframes, the bullish trend is consistent from 15 minutes up to 8 hours, with the 2H, 4H, and 8H all showing a forming trend (2/5). However, the 12H and 1D timeframes are bearish, which introduces a conflicting higher-timeframe signal. This suggests the current bullish move may be a corrective rally within a larger downtrend, or it could be the beginning of a reversal. The nearest resistance at 0.83950 is a key level to watch; a break above it could confirm the bullish momentum, while a failure to hold above support at 0.81916 would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple moving average retreats up (EMA, DEMA, KAMA, MAMA) confirm price is holding above key averages.
  • ▲ BOP zero cross up and STOCHRSI KD cross up indicate strengthening buying pressure.
  • ▲ Trend alignment across 15m to 8H timeframes supports the bullish bias.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (90% probability) adds conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, which could cap the upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 0.83950 may act as a ceiling; failure to break could lead to a pullback.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways action on lower timeframes (15m-1H) suggests low trend strength there, so momentum may be fragile.
  • ▼ If price loses the 0.81916 support, the bullish setup is invalidated.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 81%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-10-27 05:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83950 2026-10-14
S1 0.81916 2026-10-22
S2 0.81833 2026-09-22
S3 0.80672 2026-09-09

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