USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 17× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.09 %
Entry
157.767
Target
158.344 +0.37 %
closes in profit
Stop
156.649 −0.71 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,394 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,394 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.7 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 656 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 19m
  • November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 3 days
  • November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 30%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 17× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.43
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.41
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.39
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.39
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.33
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.32
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.31
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.26
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.83
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.72
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.67
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.58
▲ STC OS Entry indicator 1.56
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.44
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.12

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish confluence on the 1H chart with multiple trend-following indicators aligning.
  • Momentum is confirmed by the STOCHF KD Cross Up and BOP Zero Cross Up, suggesting buyers are in control.
  • The key battleground is resistance at 158.34400; a break above opens the door for further upside.
  • Support at 156.64900 is the line in the sand—losing it invalidates the bullish thesis.
The USD/JPY 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 96% probability and a very strong strength rating. The confluence of signals is notable: a BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure, while the STOCHF KD Cross Up confirms short-term momentum to the upside. The cluster of 'Retreat Up' signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) all point to price pulling back to these dynamic support levels and bouncing, which is a classic bullish continuation setup. The candlestick group adds further weight, though specific patterns are not detailed.

Across timeframes, the bullish alignment is clear: the 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h charts are all bullish with trend forming, creating a solid foundation for the move. However, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, which introduces a note of caution. The immediate focus is on the nearest resistance at 158.34400; a break above would confirm the bullish momentum. The nearest support at 156.64900 is the critical level to watch—a loss of this level would invalidate the setup and signal a reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ The alignment of bullish trends on the 30m through 4h timeframes provides a strong tailwind for the 1H signal.
  • ▲ The cluster of 'Retreat Up' signals indicates that price is bouncing off multiple dynamic support levels, which is a powerful confluence.
  • ▲ The very high probability (96%) and 'very strong' rating suggest robust technical agreement.
  • ▲ The bullish candlestick group adds confirmation to the indicator-based signals.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The bearish trends on the 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes could act as a ceiling, limiting upside potential.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 156.64900 would invalidate the bullish setup and could trigger a sharp selloff.
  • ▼ The 15m timeframe is bearish and choppy, suggesting near-term volatility that might cause a pullback before the larger move.
  • ▼ The 'trend forming' (2/5) strength on the aligned timeframes indicates the trend is still young and could fail if momentum fades.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 30%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-27 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.34400 2026-10-21
R2 158.39100 2026-10-21
R3 158.60300 2026-10-20
S1 156.64900 2026-10-26
S2 156.31100 2026-10-23
S3 156.07500 2026-10-23

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