USD/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-27 13:00 UTC 55 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now ±0.00 %

Entry

157.891

Target

158.603 +0.45 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.075 −1.15 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 490 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 490 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Break Up, ALMA Break Up, T3 Break Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 97 % (40.30) ▼ Bearish 3 % (1.09)

model score 97.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

12:30TomorrowUSDRetail Inventories excl. Autos m/m●●○Previous 0.0%in 14h
12:30TomorrowUSDRetail Inventories m/m●●○Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.2%in 14h
12:30TomorrowUSDGoods Trade Balance●●○Forecast -$114.307BPrevious -$132.636Bin 14h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.91
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.58
▲	T3 Break Up	indicator	2.43
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.37
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.34
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.31
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.30
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.28
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.07
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.09
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.05

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence on the 4H with multiple indicators aligning, suggesting a high-probability long setup.
Price has broken above the 200 EMA, a key technical milestone that often signals a trend change.
Watch the 158.60300 resistance; a break above it confirms the bullish reversal and opens the path higher.
Higher timeframes (8H and above) are still bearish, so this is a counter-trend move on those frames—manage risk accordingly.

The 4H USD/JPY signal is overwhelmingly bullish with a 97% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators. The simultaneous firing of CCI OB Exit, multiple retreat-up signals (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA), and the EMA 200 Break Up indicates a decisive shift in medium-term momentum, with price breaking above a key moving average and pullbacks being bought aggressively. This confluence suggests that the recent upward move is not a mere bounce but a potential trend reversal on the 4H timeframe.

Across timeframes, the bullish momentum is visible from the 15-minute up to the 4H, with trend strength building from 1/5 to 3/5, peaking on the 2H. However, higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, which introduces a conflicting backdrop. The nearest resistance at 158.60300 is a critical hurdle; a break above it would confirm the bullish reversal and likely attract further buying. Conversely, the nearest support at 156.07500 serves as the invalidation zone; a close below it would negate the bullish signal and suggest the move has failed.

Catalysts

▲ Overwhelming indicator confluence: 15 signals firing simultaneously, including CCI OB Exit and multiple retreat-up patterns.
▲ EMA 200 Break Up adds a major trend-defining catalyst, often attracting momentum traders.
▲ Consistent bullish trend scores from 15m to 4H, with the strongest trend on the 2H (3/5), supporting the move.
▲ Price holding above the 200 EMA and bouncing off it would reinforce the bullish case.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe bearishness (8H, 12H, 1D) could cap upside or trigger a reversal, conflicting with the 4H bullish signal.
▼ A close below the nearest support at 156.07500 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a false breakout.
▼ The 4H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), indicating the bullish move is not yet fully established and could fade.
▼ Momentum indicators like CCI OB Exit suggest overbought conditions, which could lead to a pullback before further upside.