AUD/CAD – 1H – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal
Running · now +0.61 %
Entry
0.98893
Target
0.98528 +0.37 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.05196 −6.37 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,394 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,394 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 %
36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 %
37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 %
12 % at stop avg −0.38 %
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, ZLMA Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit +7 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 %
– vs previous candle
▲ Bullish 27 % (7.60)
▼ Bearish 73 % (21.00)
model score 73.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/CAD
Full calendar- November 2, 2026AUDBuilding Approvals m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous -6.1%in 2 days
- November 3, 2026AUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 3 days
- November 3, 2026AUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 3 days
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | HMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▼ | ZLMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▼ | ZSCORE Extreme High Exit | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | VORTEX Cross Down | indicator | 1.32 |
| ▼ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.16 |
| ▲ | Dragonfly Doji | candlestick | 1.08 |
| ▲ | Bullish Tri-Star | candlestick | 1.07 |
| ▲ | Takuri Line | candlestick | 1.02 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 1.02 |
| ▼ | Bearish Meeting Lines | candlestick | 0.81 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNExtremely strong trend
30MDOWNVery strong trend
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence on 1H with multiple indicators confirming a sell bias.
- Trend alignment across 15m to 4H supports the bearish move, with higher timeframes less decisive.
- Key resistance at 0.99664 is the invalidation level; support at 0.98229 is the main downside objective.
- A minor STOCH KD Cross Up suggests a possible short-term pullback, but the overall bias remains down.
The 1H AUD/CAD signal is firmly bearish, with a high-probability SELL triggered by a confluence of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down and CCI Zero Cross Down confirm a shift in buying pressure to selling pressure, while the STOCHF KD Cross Down aligns with the trend, despite a minor STOCH KD Cross Up suggesting a short-term pullback within the larger downtrend. The ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, and ZLMA Retreat Down all point to a sustained bearish move, and the ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicates the pair had moved to an extreme high, now reverting to the mean. This multi-indicator agreement, combined with a strong trend score of 3/5 on the 1H timeframe, gives the signal solid weight.
Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from 15m through 4H, with the 15m and 30m showing extremely strong and very strong trends respectively. The 2H and 4H are still forming, but the direction is uniform, which adds conviction. The 8H and 12H are choppy, but their bearish lean supports the lower-timeframe action. The nearest resistance at 0.99664 is the key level to watch for invalidation; a break above it would undermine the bearish case. The nearest support at 0.98229 is the primary downside target, and a break there could accelerate the move. Overall, the signals point to a continuation of the downtrend, with the pullback suggested by the STOCH KD Cross Up likely to be shallow.
Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from 15m through 4H, with the 15m and 30m showing extremely strong and very strong trends respectively. The 2H and 4H are still forming, but the direction is uniform, which adds conviction. The 8H and 12H are choppy, but their bearish lean supports the lower-timeframe action. The nearest resistance at 0.99664 is the key level to watch for invalidation; a break above it would undermine the bearish case. The nearest support at 0.98229 is the primary downside target, and a break there could accelerate the move. Overall, the signals point to a continuation of the downtrend, with the pullback suggested by the STOCH KD Cross Up likely to be shallow.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple momentum and trend indicators (BOP, CCI, ERI, HMA, ZLMA) all point lower.
- ▼ Trend scores are consistently bearish from 15m through 4H, with the strongest on lower timeframes.
- ▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicates a reversion from overextended levels, supporting a mean-reversion move.
- ▼ Resistance at 0.99664 is nearby and likely to cap any upside attempts.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (8H to 1D) are choppy and only mildly bearish, which could limit the depth of the move.
- ▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up warns of a possible counter-trend bounce; if it gains traction, it could delay the sell setup.
- ▲ If price breaks above the 0.99664 resistance, the bearish thesis is invalidated and the signal weakens.
- ▲ The 2H and 4H trends are only 'forming', so momentum may not be fully established yet.
Symbol
AUD/CAD
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Conviction
73%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-10-28 04:05
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.99664 | 2026-10-14 |
| S1 | 0.98229 | 2026-10-27 |
| S2 | 0.98075 | 2026-10-23 |
| S3 | 0.97907 | 2026-10-15 |