AUD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 12× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 16:05 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.42 %

Entry

0.98820

Target

0.98229 +0.60 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99755 −0.95 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,436 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,436 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 669 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 16h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 16h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 16h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 12× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.57
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.77
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.58
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish confluence on 1H: trendline break, BOP zero-cross, and multiple retreats signal a shift to selling pressure.
Trend is mixed: 1H-4H bullish forming, but 8H and 1D bearish—so the signal is counter-trend on the immediate higher timeframes.
Key levels: support at 0.98229 is the downside target; resistance at 0.98954 is the invalidation level.
Probability 65% and moderate strength mean the setup is tradable but not high-conviction; watch for momentum confirmation.

The 1H AUD/CAD signal is a confluence of bearish triggers: a break below an up-trendline, a BOP zero-cross down, STOCH and STOCHRSI cross signals, and multiple DEMA/MAMA/MIDPOINT/MIDPRICE retreats. Together, these indicate a shift from bullish momentum to bearish pressure, with the trendline break acting as a structural invalidation of the prior up-move. The probability of 65% with moderate strength suggests a tradable but not high-conviction setup. The lower timeframes (15m) are choppy, while the 1H and 2H are bullish trend-forming, so the signal is firing against the immediate higher-timeframe trend. However, the 8H and 1D are bearish, providing longer-term alignment. The nearest support at 0.98229 is the key downside target; a break below would confirm the bearish case. Resistance at 0.98954 is the invalidation zone—a reclaim would negate the signal. The mixed trend picture across timeframes means the signal is best treated as a tactical short, not a trend reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Trendline break up provides a structural bearish trigger, invalidating the prior up-move.
▼ BOP zero-cross down and STOCH/STOCHRSI cross signals align on the 1H, confirming momentum shift.
▼ Multiple DEMA/MAMA/MIDPOINT/MIDPRICE retreats indicate broad-based price rejection from recent highs.
▼ Longer timeframes (8H, 1D) are bearish, offering alignment for a sustained move lower.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are bullish trend-forming, which could absorb the bearish push and lead to a false breakout.
▲ The 15m is choppy/sideways, suggesting low momentum and potential for whipsaw.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 0.98954, the bearish signal is invalidated and the prior uptrend resumes.
▲ Moderate strength and 65% probability leave room for failure; watch for stalling near support before committing.