AUD/CAD – 2H – BUY

BUY NEW
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.70 %
Entry
0.98893
Target
0.99366 +0.48 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.92556 −6.41 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 886 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 886 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH OB Exit, ZLMA Break Up, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up +15 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +9% Intraday
▲ Bullish 81 % (28.81) ▼ Bearish 19 % (6.90)
model score 19.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.7 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 13.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 841 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/CAD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowAUDBuilding Approvals m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous -6.1%in 1h
  • November 3, 2026AUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 1 day
  • November 3, 2026AUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCH OB Exit indicator 2.48
▲ ZLMA Break Up indicator 2.23
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.90
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.86
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.83
▲ STC Level Cross Up indicator 1.76
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.76
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.71
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 1.42
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.37
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.36
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.32
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.30
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.29
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.27
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.23
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.16
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 1.16
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.10
▼ RSX OB Entry indicator 1.06
▲ Bullish S-B-S White Lines candlestick 1.03
▲ ADX Trend Strong indicator 0.95

Trend Context

15M
DOWNExtremely strong trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal cluster on 2H, but it's counter-trend against a bearish multi-timeframe backdrop.
  • Key levels: support at 0.98075, resistance at 0.99664 — watch for a bounce or breakdown.
  • Momentum exhaustion indicators (CCI, STOCH) suggest the downtrend may be pausing, but higher timeframes remain bearish.
  • Treat this as a potential corrective bounce, not a confirmed trend reversal, until resistance is broken.
The AUD/CAD 2H signal fires a strong bullish cluster despite the broader bearish trend across all timeframes, creating a counter-trend setup that requires careful interpretation. The signal combines momentum exhaustion indicators — CCI OS Exit, STOCH OB Exit, and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down — with price-action confirmations from Bollinger Bands lower retreat, DEMA and EMA retreats, and an HT Trendline retreat, alongside candlestick and Fibonacci signals. This suggests the recent downtrend is losing steam at the lower boundary of the Bollinger Band, with multiple indicators pointing to a potential upward correction. However, the trend scores are uniformly bearish, with the 15m timeframe showing an extremely strong trend (5/5), which argues against a sustained reversal.

The key levels frame the trade: nearest resistance at 0.99664 and support at 0.98075. With the price likely near the lower support zone, a bounce could target the resistance, but the bearish trend across higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D all bearish, albeit with trend forming or choppy status) means any upside may be limited to a corrective move rather than a full reversal. The 80% probability and strong strength are based on the confluence of many signals, but the counter-trend nature demands caution. Traders should watch for a break above resistance to confirm the bullish case, or a loss of the support level to invalidate the signal entirely.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple indicators (ADX, CCI, STOCH, BBANDS, DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline) all pointing to a bullish retreat from oversold conditions.
  • ▲ Price retreating up from the lower Bollinger Band, a classic reversal signal.
  • ▲ Fibonacci and candlestick patterns add to the confluence, increasing signal reliability.
  • ▲ Strong signal strength and 80% probability indicate high internal consistency.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Dominant bearish trend across all timeframes, with 15m and 30m showing very strong downtrends, which could overpower the counter-trend bounce.
  • ▼ If price breaks below nearest support at 0.98075, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H) are still bearish, suggesting any rally may be shallow and short-lived.
  • ▼ Momentum indicators like STOCHRSI and STOCH are exiting oversold but could re-enter, signaling continued weakness.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 19%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-28 03:25
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.99664 2026-10-14
R2 0.99757 2026-10-09
S1 0.98075 2026-10-23
S2 0.97907 2026-10-15

Tags

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