AUD/CAD – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.67 %
Entry
0.98881
Target
0.98400 +0.49 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.05943 −7.14 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 886 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 886 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, ZLMA Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
36.2 % ↓ −23.1 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +9% Intraday
▲ Bullish 19 % (4.26) ▼ Bearish 81 % (18.03)
model score 22.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
AUD/CAD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowAUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 1 day
  • TomorrowAUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 1 day
  • TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 2.32
▼ ZLMA Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.64
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.61
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.21
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.10
▼ Last Engulfing Top candlestick 1.08
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 1.03
▼ STC OB Entry indicator 1.00
▲ Dragonfly Doji candlestick 0.97
▲ ADXR Trend Strong indicator 0.95
▲ Takuri Line candlestick 0.90

Trend Context

15M
DOWNExtremely strong trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence across multiple indicators and short-term timeframes.
  • Watch the 0.98075 support level for a potential breakdown; resistance at 0.98878 is the invalidation zone.
  • Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are sideways, so the move may be counter-trend on the daily scale.
  • Overbought conditions (STC OB, ZSCORE Extreme High) suggest room for a downside correction.
The AUD/CAD 2H signal is strongly bearish, with a confluence of indicators confirming downward momentum. The ADXR Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Down, and multiple moving average retreats (HMA, ZLMA) all point to persistent selling pressure. The STC OB Entry and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggest the pair is overextended to the upside and primed for a correction. The Dragonfly Doji adds a candlestick confirmation of a potential reversal from a local high.

Trend alignment across timeframes is broadly supportive of the bearish case: the 15m through 2H timeframes all show solid-to-extremely-strong bearish trends, while higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are forming bearish trends. However, the 12H and 1D timeframes are choppy and sideways, indicating that the longer-term trend is not yet fully established. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.98878 and support at 0.98075. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 15m to 2H timeframes, all bearish with strong scores.
  • ▼ Multiple moving average retreats (HMA, ZLMA) confirm downward pressure.
  • ▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit signals the pair is stretched above its norm, increasing the likelihood of a mean reversion.
  • ▼ Dragonfly Doji candlestick pattern adds a reversal confirmation at a local high.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways, which may limit the follow-through.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 0.98878 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Overbought conditions could persist if momentum stalls, leading to a sideways consolidation before any move down.
  • ▲ The 4H and 8H trends are only forming, so the bearish case is not yet fully supported on those timeframes.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 23%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-28 05:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98878 2026-10-21
R2 0.99664 2026-10-14
R3 0.99757 2026-10-09
S1 0.98075 2026-10-23
S2 0.97907 2026-10-15

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