AUD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-28 04:40 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.61 %

Entry

0.98893

Target

0.99073 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.92142 −6.83 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,675 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,675 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Up, FISHER Zero Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 85 % (17.19) ▼ Bearish 15 % (2.96)

model score 20.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 13.3 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 824 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

00:30November 2, 2026AUDBuilding Approvals m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous -6.1%in 2 days
04:30November 3, 2026AUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 3 days
04:30November 3, 2026AUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.81
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.61
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	1.53
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.32
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.22
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.17
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.09
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.03
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.97
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	0.88

Trend Context

15M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Buy signal is weak (56%) and conflicts with a strong bearish trend across all timeframes.
Nearest support at 0.98350 is the key level to watch; a break below would invalidate the bounce.
The signal cluster is likely a short-term oversold bounce within a broader downtrend.
Expect limited upside potential; treat as a scalp trade, not a trend reversal.

The AUD/CAD 30-minute signal cluster is firing a BUY while the broader trend across all timeframes is bearish, creating a conflicting setup. The individual signals—CCI Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, T3 Retreat Down, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up, FISHER Zero Cross Up, STC OS Entry, and HMA Break Down—are mostly short-term mean-reversion or oversold bounces within a dominant downtrend. The probability is only 56% with weak strength, and the nearest support at 0.98350 is the only key level, suggesting limited upside room before resistance is undefined.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is extremely strong on 15m and 30m, solid on 1h, and forming on 2h through 8h, with choppy sideways action on 12h and 1d. This indicates that while the very short-term momentum may be attempting a bounce, the higher timeframes are all aligned bearish, which typically caps any counter-trend move. The signal cluster is likely a corrective pullback within a larger downtrend rather than a reversal. Traders should treat this BUY as a scalp opportunity at best, with invalidation if price fails to hold above support or if the bearish trend resumes with force.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold signals (STC OS Entry, CCI Zero Cross Up) suggest short-term buying pressure.
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up and FISHER Zero Cross Up indicate a potential bounce from lower band.
▲ HMA Break Down may indicate a temporary break in the downtrend's momentum.
▲ Support at 0.98350 is nearby, providing a clear level to defend.

Risk Factors

▼ Bearish trend is extremely strong on 15m and 30m, which could overwhelm the bounce.
▼ Higher timeframes (1h to 8h) are all bearish, aligning against a sustained move up.
▼ Probability is only 56% with weak strength, indicating low conviction in the signal.
▼ If price breaks below 0.98350 support, the trade thesis is invalidated and further downside is likely.