AUD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-28 02:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.74 %

Entry

0.98934

Target

0.99115 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.92968 −6.03 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,720 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,720 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, ULTOSC OS Exit, KDJ OS Exit +7 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

40.3 % ↓ −19.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 81 % (13.16) ▼ Bearish 19 % (3.12)

model score 32.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 16.8 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 513 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

00:30TomorrowAUDBuilding Approvals m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous -6.1%in 1h
04:30November 3, 2026AUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 1 day
04:30November 3, 2026AUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.84
▲	ULTOSC OS Exit	indicator	2.06
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.98
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.77
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.66
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.42
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.39
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.10
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	0.90
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	0.88
▲	Hammer	candlestick	0.88
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	0.87
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	0.77

Trend Context

15M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The BUY signal is a counter-trend bounce within a broader bearish trend, so expect limited upside potential.
Key support at 0.98350 is the invalidation level—a break below would negate the bullish signal.
Multiple indicators (AROON, BOP, STOCH) align for a short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains bearish.
Trade with caution; the signal strength is weak and the higher timeframes do not confirm the bullish move.

The AUD/CAD 30-minute signal is firing a BUY despite a predominantly bearish backdrop across most timeframes. The confluence of signals—a Trendline Break Up, AROON Cross Down, and BOP Zero Cross Up—suggests a short-term bullish reversal attempt within a larger downtrend. The AROON Cross Down and AROON Strong Downtrend indicate that the recent bearish momentum is weakening, while the BOP Zero Cross Up points to buying pressure emerging. The STOCH KD Cross Up further supports the idea of an oversold bounce.

However, the trend alignment is mixed. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes show extremely strong bearish trends (5/5 and 4/5 respectively), which typically would argue against a long. The 1-hour and 2-hour trends are also bearish but only forming (2/5), suggesting the bearish momentum may be fading. The 4-hour and higher timeframes are choppy or sideways, offering little directional clarity. This signal is therefore best viewed as a counter-trend bounce within a bearish structure, with the nearest support at 0.98350 as a critical level to watch. A break below that would invalidate the bullish case, while a sustained move higher could target prior resistance zones.

Catalysts

▲ Bullish reversal signals (Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up) suggest buying pressure is emerging.
▲ Support at 0.98350 is nearby and may act as a floor for the bounce.
▲ Weakening bearish momentum on lower timeframes (AROON Cross Down) could allow a short-term rally.

Risk Factors

▼ Strong bearish trends on 15m and 30m (5/5 and 4/5) could overpower the bounce and push price lower.
▼ The signal strength is weak (55% probability), indicating a low-confidence setup.
▼ A break below 0.98350 support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely accelerate selling.
▼ Higher timeframes (4h, 12h, 1d) are choppy or bearish, offering no confirmation for a sustained reversal.