AUD/CAD – 4H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 13:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.66 %

Entry

0.98731

Target

0.99664 +0.94 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.98075 −0.66 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 546 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 546 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross, STOCH OB Exit, MIDPOINT Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 16h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 16h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 16h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.34
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.21
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.99
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.84
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.80
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	1.68
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.58
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.58
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.56
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.46
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.35
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.98
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	0.97
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.85

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum is building on the 4H with a Golden Cross and multiple retreat-up signals.
The move is supported by trend formation on the 30m-2H timeframes, but higher timeframes are still bearish.
Watch the 0.98878 resistance as the first major test; a break would confirm the upswing.
A drop below 0.98075 support would invalidate the bullish case.

The AUD/CAD 4H signal fires a cluster of bullish momentum and trend indicators, including a Golden Cross on the 20/50 EMA, multiple moving average retreats up, and oscillator exits from oversold territory. This confluence suggests the market is transitioning from a corrective phase into a fresh upswing, with the 93% probability and very strong strength reflecting broad alignment across the indicator suite.

Across timeframes, the bullish bias is most pronounced on the 30m through 2H charts, all showing trend formation at 2/5, while the 4H itself is choppy but bullish. However, the higher timeframes (8H, 1D) remain bearish and choppy, and the 15m is still sideways, indicating that this is an early-stage recovery rather than a fully established trend. The nearest resistance at 0.98878 is the immediate upside target, while support at 0.98075 is the key invalidation zone if the move fails.

Catalysts

▲ Golden Cross on the 20/50 EMA indicates a shift toward bullish momentum.
▲ Multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) are retreating upward, confirming trend alignment.
▲ Oscillator exits from oversold levels (STOCH, WILLR) suggest buying pressure is returning.
▲ Trend scores are bullish across the 30m-2H timeframes, showing early trend formation.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 1D) remain bearish, which could cap the upside or reverse the move.
▼ The 15m is still choppy/sideways, indicating short-term uncertainty.
▼ The 4H trend score is only 1/5 despite the strong signal, so the trend is not yet fully established.
▼ If price fails to hold above 0.98075, the bullish setup would be invalidated.