AUD/CAD – 4H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 18:05 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.58 %

Entry

0.98643

Target

0.98075 +0.58 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.98878 −0.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 546 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 546 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 14h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 14h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 14h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.20
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	2.02
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.50
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.28
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.14
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.11
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.82
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.59
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.58
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.53

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong cluster of bearish signals on the 4H chart points to potential downside momentum.
Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) remain bullish but with weak trend scores, creating a mixed outlook.
Key levels: support at 0.98075 and resistance at 0.98878; a break of support confirms the bearish case.
The signal strength is moderate, so confirmation from price action is advised before committing.

The 4H chart for AUD/CAD has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, KDJ Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, and HMA Retreat Down, alongside additional candlestick and indicator confirmations. This confluence suggests a shift in momentum to the downside, with the exit from overbought conditions on the Williams %R and the retreat from the 200-period EMAs and SMAs reinforcing a bearish tilt. However, the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are still bullish, albeit with weak trend scores, indicating that the bearish pressure is emerging against a backdrop of lingering bullish structure.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.98878 and support at 0.98075. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the sell signal. The mixed higher-timeframe trend alignment warrants caution, as the bearish signals on the 4H are not yet backed by a clear downtrend on the higher timeframes. Traders should watch for price action around these levels and for any signs of momentum fading, given the moderate strength of the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators align on the 4H timeframe, including BOP, WILLR, EMA/SMA 200, KDJ, SMI, and HMA.
▼ Bearish trend on lower timeframes (15m, 30m) supports the short-term downside move.
▼ Exit from overbought conditions on WILLR suggests room for downward correction.
▼ Retreat from the 200-period moving averages adds to the bearish confluence.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are still bullish, which could limit downside follow-through.
▲ Trend scores on higher timeframes are weak, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction.
▲ A reclaim of the 0.98878 resistance would invalidate the sell signal.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions across most timeframes could lead to false breakouts.