AUD/CAD – 4H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-28 01:10 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.70 %

Entry

0.98893

Target

0.98394 +0.50 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.04582 −5.75 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 541 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 541 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SAR Flip Bearish, AO Zero Cross Down, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % ↑ +2.1 vs previous candle

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +6% Swing

▲ Bullish 30 % (6.96) ▼ Bearish 70 % (16.09)

model score 69.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

00:30TomorrowAUDBuilding Approvals m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous -6.1%in 1h
04:30November 3, 2026AUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 1 day
04:30November 3, 2026AUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.82
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.20
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.06
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.94
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.88
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▲	SUPERTREND Flip Bullish	indicator	1.75
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	1.68
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.62
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.20
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High	indicator	1.03
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.03
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

AUD/CAD is in a bearish phase across most timeframes, with strong downside momentum on the 4H chart.
Multiple indicators (AROON, SAR, DI, DM, STOCHF) confirm the sell signal, with overbought exits adding conviction.
Watch the 0.99664 resistance as the invalidation level; a break above it would signal a trend reversal.
The 0.98075 support is the key downside target; a break below could accelerate selling.

The AUD/CAD 4H chart is flashing a comprehensive bearish signal set, with 10+ indicators aligning to the downside. The AROON Strong Downtrend, SAR Flip Bearish, and multiple cross-down signals (DI, DM, STOCHF) all point to accelerating downside momentum. The CCI and WILLR exits from overbought territory confirm that the recent bounce has failed and sellers are reasserting control. Notably, the SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross appears among the signals, which may seem contradictory at first glance, but on the 4H timeframe it likely reflects a short-term pullback within a broader downtrend, and the confluence of bearish momentum indicators outweighs this single bullish crossover.

Trend alignment across timeframes is strongly supportive of the bearish case, with all timeframes from 15m up to 8h showing bearish trends, and the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) showing solid to extremely strong trend scores. The higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are choppy/sideways, which means the pair is not in a strong daily trend, but the consistent bearish bias across the lower and mid timeframes gives the sell signal weight. The nearest resistance at 0.99664 is the level to watch for invalidation, while the nearest support at 0.98075 is the downside target zone. A break below support would open the door for further declines, but a reclaim of resistance would negate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Strong trend alignment across 15m to 8h timeframes, with lower timeframes showing extreme bearish strength.
▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals: AROON downtrend, SAR flip, and cross-downs on DI, DM, and STOCHF.
▼ CCI and WILLR overbought exits suggest the recent bounce has failed, adding to bearish momentum.
▼ The 4H trend is forming, which could develop into a stronger downtrend if support breaks.

Risk Factors

▲ The 12h and 1d timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong daily trend that could limit downside follow-through.
▲ The SMA 20/50 Golden Cross is a bullish signal that may indicate a short-term bottom, conflicting with the bearish momentum.
▲ A reclaim of the 0.99664 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The sell signal is weak (58% probability), so momentum could fade quickly if the pair stalls at support.