AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.18 %
Entry
110.965
Target
110.444 +0.47 %
closes in profit
Stop
314.672 −183.58 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 886 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 886 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SUPERTREND Flip Bearish, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −11.6 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +20% Intraday
▲ Bullish 32 % (5.00) ▼ Bearish 68 % (10.67)
model score 15.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 16.8 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 513 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TomorrowAUDBuilding Approvals m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous -6.1%in 58m
  • November 3, 2026AUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 1 day
  • November 3, 2026AUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 2h 15%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ADX Trend Strong indicator 2.02
▼ SUPERTREND Flip Bearish indicator 1.95
▲ HT SINE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.92
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.36
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.13
▼ Shooting Star candlestick 1.12
▲ KDJ OS Entry indicator 1.07
▼ Gapping Down Doji candlestick 0.95
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 0.94

Trend Context

15M
UPExtremely strong trend
30M
UPVery strong trend
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

The AUD/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including an ADX Trend Strong reading, a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, BBANDS Upper Retreat Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Up, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ OS Entry, and a SuperTrend Flip Bearish. Together, these suggest that momentum is turning lower after a period of upward pressure, with the 2H timeframe now showing the early stages of a bearish trend formation (2/5 trend score). The breadth of the signal cluster—spanning trend, momentum, volatility, and cycle indicators—adds weight to the bearish case, but the moderate strength and 68% probability indicate that this is a tactical shift rather than a confirmed reversal.

However, the higher timeframe picture is mixed and leans bullish, with 15m through 8h all showing bullish trends, albeit with decreasing strength. The 12h is choppy/sideways and the 1d is bearish, which creates a conflicting backdrop. The key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 111.30800 and nearest support at 109.48900. A decisive break below the support would align the lower timeframes with the daily bearish bias, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish signal. The bearish signals are firing against the prevailing intraday bullish trend, so the trade is essentially a counter-trend play that needs the 2H to lead lower against the higher timeframe momentum.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 15%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-28 03:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.30800 2026-10-22
S1 109.48900 2026-10-23
S2 108.63400 2026-10-15

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