AUD/JPY – 4H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 18:05 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.40 %

Entry

111.385

Target

109.489 +1.70 %

closes in profit

Stop

112.613 −1.10 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 546 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 546 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KDJ Cross Down, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, STOCHF KD Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.7 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 13.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 853 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 14h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 14h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 14h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.26
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	Bearish Meeting Lines	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 4H chart suggest a short-term pullback, but the broader trend is still bullish.
Key resistance at 112.61300 and support at 109.48900 are critical levels for the trade.
The bearish momentum is strong, but it conflicts with higher timeframe bullish trends.
A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a hold above resistance could invalidate it.

The 4H chart for AUD/JPY has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, a KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, and a Bearish Meeting Lines candlestick pattern. This confluence suggests a short-term momentum shift to the downside, with the Keltner upper band retreat indicating that price is pulling back from overbought conditions. The Bearish Meeting Lines pattern adds a bearish reversal signal at a potential local top.

However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bullish, with solid trends on the 15m through 1h charts and trend-forming on the 2h and 4h. This creates a conflict: the immediate bearish signals are firing against the prevailing bullish trend. The nearest resistance at 112.61300 is a key level to watch; if price fails to break below the nearest support at 109.48900, the bearish move could be a mere pullback within the larger uptrend. Traders should consider the bearish signals as a potential short-term correction rather than a full trend reversal, and watch for a break below support to confirm further downside.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (BOP, STOCHF, KDJ, Keltner, candlestick) on the 4H chart.
▼ Bearish Meeting Lines pattern indicates a potential reversal at a local top.
▼ Keltner Upper Retreat signals price pulling back from overbought conditions.
▼ Strong signal probability (100%) and very strong strength.

Risk Factors

▲ All higher timeframes (1H and above) remain bullish, which could overpower the 4H bearish signals.
▲ The bullish trend on lower timeframes (15m-1h) is solid, suggesting the pullback may be shallow.
▲ If price holds above the nearest resistance at 112.61300, the bearish setup could fail.
▲ Momentum may fade quickly if the broader bullish trend resumes.