AUD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 16:05 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.11 %

Entry

0.70401

Target

0.70094 +0.44 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.71073 −0.95 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,436 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,436 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Down, STC OB Entry, Bearish Meeting Lines

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.1 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 16.6 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 517 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 2h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 2h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 2h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	0.93
▼	Bearish Meeting Lines	candlestick	0.71

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish 1H signal with multiple confirmations, but higher timeframes are mostly bullish.
Watch the 0.70094 support: a break below it strengthens the bearish case.
Resistance at 0.70405 is the invalidation level; a move above it would negate the signal.
The 1D bearish trend provides some alignment, but intraday trends are choppy.

The 1H SELL signal on AUD/USD is a confluence of multiple technical triggers: the Balance of Power (BOP) crossing below zero indicates a shift in buying pressure, while the HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up suggests a momentum swing that often precedes a bearish move. The STC OB Entry flags overbought conditions, and a Bearish Meeting Lines pattern confirms a bearish candlestick formation. Together, these signals point to a potential short-term downside move, though the overall trend across timeframes is predominantly bullish, with only the 1D timeframe showing a bearish trend. This creates a mixed picture: the intraday signals are bearish, but the higher-timeframe trend is mostly bullish, which may limit the depth of any decline.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.70405 and support at 0.70094. A break below support would validate the bearish signal, while a push above resistance would invalidate it. The moderate probability (69%) and moderate strength suggest the signal is meaningful but not overwhelming. Traders should watch for confirmation from price action, especially a close below support, and be aware that the bullish higher timeframes could provide buying pressure that stalls the move.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (BOP, HT PHASOR, STC, candlestick) on the 1H timeframe.
▼ The 1D timeframe shows a bearish trend, offering some higher-timeframe alignment.
▼ Overbought conditions (STC OB Entry) suggest room for a downward correction.
▼ Support at 0.70094 is relatively close, providing a clear target for a bearish move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (15m to 12h) are all bullish, which could override the 1H bearish signal.
▲ The 1H trend is bullish, so the bearish signal may be a counter-trend move with limited follow-through.
▲ If price breaks above 0.70405 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions across most timeframes indicate low momentum, which could lead to a false signal.