AUD/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 05:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.03 %

Entry

0.70336

Target

0.70094 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.71251 −1.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 886 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 886 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down, HMA Break Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 663 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 12h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 12h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 12h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.42
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.34
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.31
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.02
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.31
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.23

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong 2H sell signal with high probability (86%) and very strong strength, but higher timeframes are bullish and choppy.
Multiple momentum and trend indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR, DEMA, ALMA, HMA) all crossed down, confirming bearish momentum.
Key levels: resistance at 0.70398, support at 0.70094; watch for break below support to confirm, or reclaim of resistance to invalidate.
Given conflicting higher timeframes, treat as a tactical short-term opportunity rather than a long-term trend shift.

The AUD/USD 2H signal is strongly bearish (86% probability, very strong), driven by a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators crossing down simultaneously. The MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero-cross downs, along with DEMA, ALMA, and HMA break downs, signal a sharp loss of upside momentum and a potential shift in the prevailing 2H structure. The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up and HT SINE Zero Cross Down add a cyclical component, suggesting the recent bullish phase may be exhausting. However, the broader timeframe context is mixed: while the 15m and 30m are bearish, the 1H through 12H timeframes are all bullish (though choppy and sideways with low trend strength), and the 1D is bearish but only forming. This divergence means the 2H sell signal is firing against the higher-timeframe bullish bias, reducing its reliability. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70398 and support at 0.70094; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

The signal's strength is supported by the confluence of multiple independent indicators all pointing down, and the lower timeframes (15m, 30m) aligning bearish suggests the move may have started from the bottom up. Yet the choppy, sideways nature across all timeframes (trend strength 1/5) indicates a lack of clear directional conviction, and the bullish higher timeframes (1H-12H) could act as a headwind. Traders should treat this as a tactical short-term sell opportunity rather than a trend reversal, with invalidation clearly defined by a move above the nearest resistance. Momentum fading is a risk, as the zero-cross signals can be noisy in sideways markets. The 1D bearish trend, though only forming, does provide some macro support, but the overall picture is one of conflicting timeframes and low trend quality.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of over ten indicators firing bearish simultaneously, including momentum, rate-of-change, and moving average breakdowns.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are also bearish, aligning with the 2H signal from the bottom up.
▼ The 1D timeframe is bearish and trend forming, providing macro-level support for the bearish case.
▼ HT PHASOR and HT SINE cross-downs suggest cyclical exhaustion of the recent bullish phase.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H-12H) are all bullish, creating a conflicting trend that could absorb the 2H move.
▲ All timeframes show choppy/sideways price action with low trend strength (1/5), indicating weak directional conviction and potential for false signals.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 0.70398, the sell signal is invalidated; momentum could fade quickly in a sideways market.
▲ The 2H signal may be a counter-trend pullback within a larger bullish structure, so upside risk remains if the bullish higher timeframes regain control.