EUR/JPY – 1D – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.30 %
Entry
176.291
Target
186.015 +5.52 %
closes in profit
Stop
167.329 −5.08 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 8
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 6,241 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 6,241 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.36 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, QSTICK Zero Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
39.7 % ↓ −19.6 vs previous candle
WEAK Position
▲ Bullish 83 % (10.40) ▼ Bearish 17 % (2.07)
model score 25.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 673 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/JPY  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 4, 2026EURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 1 day
  • November 4, 2026EURCore CPI●●●Previous 103.31in 1 day
  • November 4, 2026EURCPI●●●Previous 104.31in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 1d 25%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.78
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.62
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.48
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.40
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.24
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.24
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.13
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.12
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.06
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 0.97
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.89

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish momentum is building on the daily chart, with multiple indicators aligning for a potential bounce.
  • The overall trend on higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) remains bearish, so this could be a counter-trend rally.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 186.015; a break above it could confirm a larger reversal, while rejection may lead to renewed selling.
  • The absence of a defined nearest support level means the bounce is happening in a vacuum, increasing the importance of the resistance level.
The EUR/JPY daily chart is firing a cluster of bullish momentum signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, and multiple moving average retreats (BBANDS, DEMA, HMA). These signals indicate that selling pressure is exhausting and buyers are stepping in, likely marking a short-term bottom. The very strong signal strength (90% probability) suggests a high level of confluence among the indicators, which often precedes a meaningful bounce.

However, the higher timeframe trend is still bearish, with the 8h, 12h, and 1d trends showing solid downtrends. The bullish signals are primarily on the daily timeframe, while intraday trends are mixed (15m bearish, 30m and 1h bullish). This suggests the bounce may be counter-trend in nature, and the nearest resistance at 186.015 is a critical level to watch. A break above that could signal a larger reversal, while a failure there could mean the bounce is merely a correction within the broader downtrend.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals (BOP, CCI, STOCH, BBANDS, DEMA, HMA) on the daily timeframe.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (90%) and strong trend scores on the daily chart.
  • ▲ Momentum is shifting from bearish to bullish, as indicated by the CCI OS Exit and STOCH KD Cross Up.
  • ▲ The HMA Direction Up and DEMA Retreat Up suggest early trend reversal signs.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends (8h, 12h, 1d) are still bearish, which could overpower the daily bullish signal.
  • ▼ The 15m trend is bearish, indicating near-term weakness that could delay the bounce.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 186.015 is a key invalidation level; if price fails to break above it, the bullish signal weakens.
  • ▼ The lack of a defined support level means there is no clear floor below the current price, increasing downside risk if the bounce fails.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 1D
Direction BUY
Conviction 25%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-28 01:10
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 186.01500 2026-08-21
R2 187.46700 2026-07-29

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