EUR/USD – 1D – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.25 %
Entry
1.11796
Target
1.17109 +4.75 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.11129 −0.60 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 8
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 6,241 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 6,241 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.36 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Retreat Up, WILLR OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
39.7 % ↓ −19.6 vs previous candle
WEAK Position
▲ Bullish 83 % (16.55) ▼ Bearish 17 % (3.43)
model score 28.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 669 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 23h
  • TomorrowUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 23h
  • November 4, 2026EURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 1d 29%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ TEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.96
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.82
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.60
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.52
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.16
▲ Bullish Meeting Lines candlestick 1.00
▼ FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 0.75
▼ Thrusting candlestick 0.50

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish signals on the daily chart suggest a potential reversal, but the daily trend is still bearish.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 1.17109 for confirmation; a break above could signal a stronger move.
  • Support at 1.11129 is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish signals.
  • Timeframe conflict: 1h bullish vs. 2h/4h bearish, so expect possible choppiness.
The EUR/USD daily chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, TEMA Retreat Up, FISHER Zero Cross Down, QSTICK Zero Cross Up, and the candlestick patterns Bullish Meeting Lines and Thrusting. This confluence of momentum and candlestick signals points to a potential short-term bounce or reversal attempt within the broader daily downtrend. The strong signal strength (89% probability) suggests that buying pressure is emerging, but the higher timeframe trend remains bearish, with the 1D trend score at 4/5 bearish. The 1h timeframe shows a solid bullish trend (3/5), while the 4h and 2h are still bearish, indicating a conflict between the immediate and medium-term trends. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.17109 and support at 1.11129. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal and resume the downtrend.

The signal cluster is most reliable when the bullish momentum can push price through the resistance level, aligning with the higher timeframes. However, the bearish daily trend and the mixed signals across timeframes warrant caution. The 8h and 12h timeframes are bearish, though the 8h is choppy, which could provide some leeway. Traders should monitor the price action around the support and resistance levels, as a decisive move in either direction will clarify the next trend. The bullish signals are strong, but they are operating against the dominant daily downtrend, so the probability of a sustained reversal is moderate until the resistance is breached.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, TEMA, FISHER, QSTICK) all fired bullish at the same time, showing strong momentum convergence.
  • ▲ Bullish candlestick patterns (Meeting Lines and Thrusting) add confluence to the reversal case.
  • ▲ The 1h timeframe shows a solid bullish trend, supporting the short-term bounce.
  • ▲ The signal probability is 89% with very strong strength, indicating high conviction in the setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The daily trend is strongly bearish (4/5), so the bullish signal may be a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal.
  • ▼ The 2h and 4h timeframes are still bearish, which could pull price back down.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above resistance at 1.17109, the bullish momentum may fade.
  • ▼ A daily close below support at 1.11129 would invalidate the signal and likely resume the downtrend.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 1D
Direction BUY
Conviction 29%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-28 01:10
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.17109 2026-08-21
S1 1.11129 2026-10-14

Tags

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