NZD/USD – 1D – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-28 01:10 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

0.56333

Target

0.55653 +1.21 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.59877 −6.29 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 8

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 6,241 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 6,241 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.36 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SAR Flip Bearish, SMI Signal Cross Down, AO Saucer Bearish +11 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +19.6 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 14 % (4.12) ▼ Bearish 86 % (25.75)

model score 86.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

15:00TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 23h
15:00TomorrowUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 23h
21:45TomorrowNZDEmployment Change q/q●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.35
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.06
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.93
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.89
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.71
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.56
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	Falling Window	candlestick	0.66

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish indicators on the daily chart points to a strong downtrend in NZD/USD.
The bearish trend is confirmed across multiple timeframes, with solid trends on 1h, 2h, 4h, and 1d.
Watch the nearest support at 0.55653; a break could extend the decline, while resistance at 0.59877 is the key reversal level.
The 15m bullish pullback is weak and likely temporary within the broader bearish structure.

The NZD/USD daily chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CCI Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, DX Trend Strong, RSI Midline Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, SAR Flip Bearish, and AO Saucer Bearish, among others. The confluence of momentum, trend strength, and volatility indicators points to a well-established downtrend on the daily timeframe, with the signal probability at 78% and strong strength. The bearish alignment is supported across multiple timeframes: the 1h, 2h, 4h, and 1d charts all show solid bearish trends, while the 30m, 8h, and 12h are forming bearish trends. Only the 15m shows a nascent bullish pullback, but it is weak (2/5) and likely a counter-trend correction within the larger downtrend.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.59877 and the nearest support at 0.55653. A sustained break below the support could open the door to further downside, while a reclaim of the resistance would signal a potential trend reversal. The strong trend scores across major timeframes suggest that the path of least resistance is lower, but traders should watch for any signs of momentum fading or a higher-timeframe conflict, particularly if price approaches the support level. The signal group includes both candlestick and indicator patterns, adding to the robustness of the bearish case.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum and trend indicators (CCI, CMO, DX, RSI, WILLR, BBANDS, SAR, AO) all align bearish, providing strong confluence.
▼ Solid bearish trends on 1h, 2h, 4h, and 1d timeframes reinforce the daily signal.
▼ The signal probability of 78% with strong strength indicates high conviction in the bearish move.
▼ The signal includes both candlestick and indicator patterns, adding to the robustness of the setup.

Risk Factors

▲ A weak bullish pullback on the 15m could evolve into a larger correction if momentum shifts.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 0.59877, the bearish thesis would be invalidated.
▲ The support at 0.55653 may act as a strong floor, potentially causing a bounce and profit-taking.
▲ A conflicting higher-timeframe signal or a sudden shift in news sentiment could reverse the trend.