USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED

2026-10-28 05:00 UTC 11 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.16 %

Entry

1.40608

Target

1.40090 +0.37 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.42223 −1.15 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 10 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average −1.09 % per trade 1,316 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,316 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −9.17 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, ZLMA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −6.4 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (26.45)

model score 20.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 11 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.1 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 14.9 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 531 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

12:30TomorrowUSDGDP Sales q/q●●●Forecast 2.7%Previous 2.8%in 17h
12:30TomorrowUSDReal PCE q/q●●○Forecast 3.5%Previous 3.8%in 17h
12:30TomorrowUSDGDP q/q●●●Forecast 1.4%Previous 2.2%in 17h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.63
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.20
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.69
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	ZLMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.47
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.45
▲	Three Line Strike - Bullish	candlestick	1.32
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.22
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.16
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	1.16
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.10
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.09
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	1.06
▼	Collapsing Doji Star	candlestick	0.85

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple overbought exit indicators (BOP, CCI, CMO, STOCH) suggest the recent up-move is losing steam.
The 1H sell signal aligns with the bearish 12H and 1D trends, but lower timeframes are still bullish, so the correction may be limited.
Watch the 1.40090 support: a break below would confirm the bearish move; a hold above 1.40821 resistance would invalidate it.
The signal is moderate strength (67% probability), so expect some volatility and potential whipsaw.

The 1H SELL signal on USD/CAD is driven by a cluster of overbought exit indicators (BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, CMO OB Exit, STOCH OB Exit) alongside trend-retreat signals (EMA 200 Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down, HMA Direction Down, KDJ Cross Down). This suggests that after a period of upward pressure, momentum is fading and a short-term correction is likely. The signal is moderate in strength with a 67% probability, indicating a reasonable but not overwhelming edge.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15m to 8h timeframes are all bullish, though most are only trend-forming (2/5) or solid (3/5), while the 12h and 1d timeframes are bearish. This implies that the sell signal is aligned with the higher-timeframe bearish bias, but it is counter to the immediate bullish momentum on the lower timeframes. The nearest resistance at 1.40821 and support at 1.40090 are key levels to watch: a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a hold above resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Alignment with higher-timeframe bearish trend (12H and 1D) supports the sell direction.
▼ Confluence of multiple overbought exit signals (BOP, CCI, CMO, STOCH) indicates a strong momentum shift.
▼ Trend-retreat signals (EMA 200, HMA) confirm that the bullish push is failing to sustain.
▼ The nearest resistance at 1.40821 is close, providing a clear invalidation level for the trade.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m to 8h) are all bullish, which could counteract the sell signal and lead to a bounce.
▲ The signal is only moderate strength (67%), leaving a 33% chance the move fails.
▲ If price holds above 1.40821, the sell signal is invalidated and a continuation of the bullish trend is likely.
▲ The 1H trend is only forming (2/5), so momentum may not be strong enough to push through support.