USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 11:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.25 %

Entry

1.40278

Target

1.39684 +0.42 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.40686 −0.29 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 50 Break Down, EMA 200 Break Down, EMA Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 673 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 5h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 5h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 5h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA 50 Break Down	indicator	2.65
▼	EMA 200 Break Down	indicator	2.54
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	1.93
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.63
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	1.04

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart with multiple indicators aligned.
Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) are solidly bearish, but higher timeframes (2H-12H) are bullish, creating a conflict.
Watch the 1.40090 support; a break could extend the decline, while a move above 1.40686 would invalidate the signal.
The 1-hour chart is bearish but still forming, so the trend may not be fully established yet.

A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on the USD/CAD 30-minute chart, including a DX Trend Strong, a DEMA Retreat Down, an EMA Retreat Down, an EMA 200 Break Down, and a high-timeframe trendline retreat. The confluence of these indicators points to a strong short-term downtrend, with the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes both showing solid bearish trends. The 1-hour chart is also bearish but still forming, suggesting the move may have room to develop. However, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) remain bullish, which creates a potential conflict and warns that this sell signal could be a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.40686 and support at 1.40090. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and likely attract further selling, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The strong probability (88%) and very strong strength rating reflect the high number of aligned indicators, but traders should be cautious given the mixed higher-timeframe picture.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of many bearish indicators (DX Trend Strong, EMA 200 Break Down, DEMA/EMA/KAMA/MA retreats) on the 30-minute chart.
▼ Solid bearish trends on 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes, supporting the short-term direction.
▼ High signal probability (88%) and very strong strength rating indicate robust alignment.
▼ Candlestick and indicator groups both firing, adding to the conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, which could cap the downside or lead to a reversal.
▲ The 1-hour trend is only forming (2/5), so the bearish move may lack confirmation on the next higher timeframe.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.40686 would invalidate the sell signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Momentum could fade if the price stalls near support at 1.40090, leading to a consolidation or reversal.