USD/CHF – 8H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +1.08 %
Entry
0.82810
Target
0.81916 +1.08 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83950 −1.38 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 300 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 300 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.64 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.42 % 18 % at stop avg −0.59 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/CHF  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TomorrowCHFCPI y/y●●●Forecast 0.9%Previous 1.0%in 16h
  • TomorrowCHFCPI m/m●●●Forecast -0.2%Previous 0.0%in 16h
  • TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 23h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 9 × 8h 90%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.35
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.15
▼ ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish indicator 2.01
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▲ STOCH OB Exit indicator 1.83
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.72
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.46
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.42
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.27
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.09
▼ Collapsing Doji Star candlestick 0.81

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong bearish signal cluster on the 8H chart suggests a potential short-term reversal or pullback.
  • Shorter timeframes (15m-2h) are aligned bearish, supporting the sell signal, but the 4H and 8H remain bullish.
  • Key levels to watch: support at 0.81916 and resistance at 0.83950.
  • The signal is moderate in strength, so position sizing should reflect the uncertainty from conflicting higher timeframe trends.
The USD/CHF 8H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, with multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, STOCH, WILLR) converging with momentum crossovers (STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down) and a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band. This suggests that the recent upward push has lost steam and that sellers are stepping in, with the combined signal groups pointing to a potential shift from the prevailing bullish bias on the higher timeframes to a corrective move lower.

Across the shorter timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, with solid trend scores on the 15m, 1h, and 2h charts, and a forming bearish trend on the 30m. However, the 4H and 8H timeframes remain bullish, though the 8H is choppy/sideways, indicating that the bearish momentum is currently a corrective phase within a broader uptrend. The immediate downside target is the nearest support at 0.81916, while any bounce could face resistance at 0.83950. The moderate strength and 68% probability suggest a tradable move, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant caution.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, STOCH, WILLR) indicate exhaustion of the prior upward move.
  • ▼ Momentum crossovers (STOCHRSI, KDJ) confirm bearish momentum shift.
  • ▼ Retreat from the upper Bollinger Band suggests a rejection at elevated levels.
  • ▼ Shorter timeframe trends (15m-2h) are consistently bearish, providing intraday confirmation.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 4H and 8H timeframes are still bullish, which could limit the downside or lead to a bounce.
  • ▲ The 8H trend is choppy/sideways, reducing the reliability of the signal.
  • ▲ A break back above the 0.83950 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ The signal strength is moderate, so the move may lack strong follow-through.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Conviction 90%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-28 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83950 2026-10-14
S1 0.81916 2026-10-22
S2 0.81833 2026-09-22
S3 0.80672 2026-09-09

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